Public evidence record

Fadepix

0xc6fd646b15d976d7c3e9f410f3419f5c2452f43e

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-9.5%324 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-5.8%$2,038,261 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.69%172 pre-event fills

Settlement record

134-159Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−38.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 324 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -17.4% to -1.6%

324 closed positions · 734 taker fills · $2,038,261 deployed

Typical position $1,724 (median) · closing line value measured over 172 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$13138

Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz

entry 76¢ · -316now 89¢ · -770+12.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Basketball129 closed54–61-5.7%
Baseball89 closed39–39-5.7%
Football54 closed20–33-10.4%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-02	Combo: Raptors — Raptors vs. Lakers + Commanders — Spread: Commanders (-5.5) + Warriors — Clippers vs. Warriorsmulti sport · combo	—	lost	12¢ · +768	$98	−98
2026-11-01	Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)football · spreads	Chiefs	lost	41¢ · +143	$2,324	−2,324
2026-11-01	Spread: Rams (-6.5)football · spreads	Rams	won	57¢ · -134	$3,189	−864
2026-11-01	Chiefs vs. Broncosfootball · moneyline	Chiefs	lost	51¢ · -104