Public evidence record

jacapraca

0xc78aeff931c54593600199864534863fa998ea34

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-0.3%1,409 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.9%$103,897 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.07%357 pre-event fills

Settlement record

416-346-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−65.0uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,409 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -3.7% to +3.2%

1,409 closed positions · 2,050 taker fills · $103,897 deployed

Typical position $51 (median) · closing line value measured over 357 pre-event fills · 27% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports1,134 closed304–279-1.1%
MMA104 closed40–33–1+0.4%
Baseball51 closed17–13-5.3%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Jaguars vs. Ravensfootball · moneyline	Jaguars	exited	78¢ · -355	$79	+12
2026-11-06	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffsesports · moneyline	Natus Vincere	won	72¢ · -257	$73	+27
2026-11-05	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffsesports · moneyline	Bilibili Gaming	won	59¢ · -144	$151	+99
2026-11-04	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group Aesports · moneyline	Natus Vincere	won