Public evidence record

BillyBull

0xc84f53898b93989f6cdf9641c9b1cf2d3d42bb5b

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.1%322 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.6%$38,213 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+0.90%129 pre-event fills

Settlement record

104-146-19Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−31.0uDeepest peak-to-trough over 322 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -11.6% to +5.5%

322 closed positions · 514 taker fills · $38,213 deployed

Typical position $75 (median) · closing line value measured over 129 pre-event fills · 18% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports293 closed96–130–19-2.9%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-21	Combo: Yes — Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-22? + Yes — Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21? + Yes — Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-21? + Yes — Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-21?soccer · combo	—	lost	34¢ · +195	$138	−138
2026-10-20	Dota 2: TheBot$ vs Dawn Bulls - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline	Dawn Bulls	lost	53¢ · -112	$184	−184
2026-10-18	Combo: Privateer Gaming — Counter-Strike: Privateer Gaming vs antidaun (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #12 Group D + Team Falcons — Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffsesports · combo	—	lost	33¢ · +200	$75	−75
2026-10-18