Public evidence record

BillyBull

0xc84f53898b93989f6cdf9641c9b1cf2d3d42bb5b

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.4%254 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.6%$24,784 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+2.93%85 pre-event fills

Settlement record

74-116-17Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−27.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 254 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -12.6% to +5.9%

254 closed positions · 416 taker fills · $24,784 deployed

Typical position $57 (median) · closing line value measured over 85 pre-event fills · 18% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$45

Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs

3DMAX

entry 43¢ · +133now 39¢ · +160−4.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports226 closed66–101–17-3.3%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Combo: PuckChamp — Dota 2: PuckChamp vs BALU (BO3) - European Pro League Group A + BakS eSports — Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Black Phoenix (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stageesports · combo	—	won	65¢ · -185	$150	+77
2026-09-20	Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline	Black Phoenix	exited	65¢ · -186	$195	+105
2026-09-20	Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Black Phoenix - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline	BakS eSports	exited	35¢ · +186	$155	−63
2026-09-20	Combo: No — Counter-Strike: Lavked vs ENCE (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage + Yes — Counter-Strike: WBT vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - Circuito Retake Playoffs