Public evidence record

Predilictionist

0xc85f77ffb48f05ee9568cdafa4d5a952073d15f8

Not ranked. market maker (47% maker fills). Available on-chain history is shown below; unresolved positions are excluded from these figures.

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 24, 2026

Source sync: Sep 23, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-5.0%803 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.9%$107,693 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-4.40%335 pre-event fills

Settlement record

208-309-2Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−42.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 803 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -10.0% to -0.0%

803 closed positions · 2,599 taker fills · $107,693 deployed

Typical position $94 (median) · closing line value measured over 335 pre-event fills · 47% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis295 closed79–101–2+0.8%
Soccer163 closed26–78-9.9%
Football111 closed24–48-8.1%
Baseball104 closed37–32-7.8%
Basketball80 closed27–30-1.9%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 94 sports · 6 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Giants vs. Ramsfootball · moneyline	Giants	lost	29¢ · +245	$57	−57
2026-09-19	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC · Spread Aston Villa FC (-1.5)soccer · spreads	Aston Villa FC	lost	89¢ · -826	$17	−17
2026-09-19	Davis Cup: Jurij Rodionov vs. Zizou Bergsmoneyline · Non-sports	Zizou Bergs	lost	65¢ · -186	$57	−41
2026-09-18	Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score