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Public evidence record
0xc8ea5b177e306dfb6f35ee713b5a1b4a5e1e7f8d
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-9.7%316 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-2.1%$31,175 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-1.99%167 pre-event fillsSettlement record
85-194-4Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−40.0uDeepest peak-to-trough over 316 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -20.1% to +0.8%
316 closed positions · 1,303 taker fills · $31,175 deployed
Typical position $86 (median) · closing line value measured over 167 pre-event fills · 9% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
We couldn’t reach the source just now, so this is unavailable rather than empty. The settled record below is unaffected.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 87 sports · 13 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-11-05?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 30¢ · +233 | $57 | — |
| 2026-11-04 | Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-11-04?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 20¢ · +400 | $42 | — |
| 2026-11-04 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 21¢ · +370 | $62 | — |
| 2026-11-04 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? |
| Yes |
| exited |
| 8¢ · +1150 |
| $76 |
| — |
| 2026-11-03 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-03?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 45¢ · +122 | $69 | — |
| 2026-11-03 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-03?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 11¢ · +809 | $23 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $83 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC · Spread Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Tottenham Hotspur FC | won | 35¢ · +186 | $52 | +91 |
| 2026-10-31 | Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 VidantaWorld Mexico Open?moneyline · Non-sports | Yes | lost | 22¢ · +352 | $31 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $41 | −41 |
| 2026-10-31 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 41¢ · +144 | $103 | — |
| 2026-10-28 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $106 | −106 |
| 2026-10-27 | Will Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 23¢ · +335 | $31 | — |
| 2026-10-27 | Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 3¢ · +3471 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-27 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Stan Wawrinka vs Jiri Leheckatennis · moneyline | Stan Wawrinka | lost | 8¢ · +1172 | $19 | −19 |
| 2026-10-27 | Erste Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Grigor Dimitrovtennis · moneyline | Grigor Dimitrov | lost | 27¢ · +274 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-10-27 | Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Francisco Cerundolotennis · moneyline | Cameron Norrie | won | 33¢ · +203 | $41 | +80 |
| 2026-10-27 | Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Martin Landalucetennis · moneyline | Martin Landaluce | lost | 10¢ · +862 | $31 | −31 |
| 2026-10-27 | Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 58.5football · totals | Under | lost | 60¢ · -149 | $164 | −164 |
| 2026-10-27 | Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 56.5football · totals | Under | exited | 51¢ · -104 | $304 | −20 |
| 2026-10-27 | Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5football · totals | Under | lost | 25¢ · +300 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-10-27 | Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5football · totals | Under | lost | 41¢ · +147 | $148 | −148 |
| 2026-10-26 | Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnleytennis · moneyline | Arthur Fery | won | 54¢ · -117 | $31 | +25 |
| 2026-10-26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 22¢ · +348 | $15 | −15 |
| 2026-10-26 | Chiefs vs. Seahawks: O/U 28.5football · totals | Under | won | 36¢ · +178 | $204 | +352 |
| 2026-10-25 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 25¢ · +300 | $81 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Englandsoccer · moneyline | Pakistan | won | 60¢ · -150 | $50 | +32 |
| 2026-10-12 | Will the match end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 33¢ · +205 | $82 | — |
| 2026-10-11 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 29¢ · +245 | $52 | — |
| 2026-10-11 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?racing · f1 race winner | Yes | lost | 15¢ · +567 | $54 | — |
| 2026-10-09 | Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan T20s: Pakistan vs Sri Lankasoccer · moneyline | Sri Lanka | lost | 33¢ · +206 | $46 | −46 |
| 2026-10-04 | Chiefs vs. Raidersfootball · moneyline | Raiders | lost | 38¢ · +163 | $100 | −100 |
| 2026-10-04 | Rams vs. Eaglesfootball · moneyline | Eagles | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $100 | −100 |
| 2026-10-04 | Colts vs. Commandersfootball · moneyline | Commanders | lost | 28¢ · +257 | $67 | −67 |
| 2026-10-03 | West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West Indiessoccer · moneyline | West Indies | won | 38¢ · +164 | $120 | +187 |
| 2026-09-30 | Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australiasoccer · moneyline | South Africa | lost | 27¢ · +269 | $128 | −128 |
| 2026-09-29 | Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $53 | −53 |
| 2026-09-29 | National Cricket League, Women: Western Australia vs Tasmaniasoccer · moneyline | Tasmania | lost | 35¢ · +186 | $17 | −17 |
| 2026-09-29 | National Cricket League, Women: Victoria vs South Australian Scorpionssoccer · moneyline | Victoria | won | 45¢ · +122 | $31 | +36 |
| 2026-09-29 | Spread: Bears (-6.5)football · spreads | Bears | exited | 30¢ · +233 | $39 | +90 |
| 2026-09-29 | Spread: Bears (-5.5)football · spreads | Bears | won | 35¢ · +186 | $100 | +175 |
| 2026-09-28 | Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 164.5basketball · totals | Under | lost | 58¢ · -137 | $165 | −165 |
| 2026-09-27 | Ravens vs. Cowboysfootball · moneyline | Cowboys | lost | 46¢ · +115 | $100 | −100 |
| 2026-09-27 | Combo: No — Vikings vs. Buccaneers: O/U 42.5 + Yes — Vikings vs. Buccaneersfootball · combo | — | exited | 27¢ · +265 | $15 | +36 |
| 2026-09-27 | Spread: Vikings (-1.5)football · spreads | Vikings | won | 43¢ · +134 | $90 | +113 |
| 2026-09-26 | Will England win on 2026-09-26?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 24¢ · +317 | $125 | — |
| 2026-09-26 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5baseball · totals | Over | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $99 | −99 |
| 2026-09-26 | Asian Games Men: Japan vs Nepalsoccer · moneyline | Japan | push | 8¢ · +1099 | $17 | +82 |
| 2026-09-26 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 63¢ · -170 | $140 | −140 |
| 2026-09-26 | Colorado Rockies vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5baseball · totals | Over | won | 45¢ · +122 | $21 | +24 |
| 2026-09-26 | Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5baseball · totals | Over | won | 46¢ · +117 | $31 | +32 |
| 2026-09-25 | Presidents Cup 2026 Winnermoneyline · Non-sports | International | lost | 26¢ · +285 | $192 | −192 |
| 2026-09-25 | Army vs. Temple · Spread Army (-9.5)football · spreads | Army | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $40 | −40 |
| 2026-09-25 | North American Cup T20I: Bahamas vs Bermudasoccer · moneyline | Bahamas | push | 36¢ · +180 | $40 | +10 |
| 2026-09-25 | San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 62¢ · -163 | $204 | −204 |
| 2026-09-25 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 56¢ · -127 | $204 | +139 |
| 2026-09-24 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 20.5baseball · totals | Under | exited | 49¢ · +104 | $51 | +51 |
| 2026-09-24 | Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 4.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 39¢ · +156 | $40 | +60 |
| 2026-09-24 | Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lankasoccer · moneyline | Sri Lanka | won | 21¢ · +367 | $95 | +325 |
| 2026-09-22 | Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lankasoccer · moneyline | Sri Lanka | lost | 16¢ · +510 | $114 | −114 |
| 2026-09-22 | Giants vs. Rams: O/U 39.5football · totals | Under | won | 52¢ · -108 | $150 | +110 |
| 2026-09-22 | Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Over | lost | 36¢ · +178 | $60 | −60 |
| 2026-09-22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 8¢ · +1150 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-09-22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETNon-sports | Down | lost | 26¢ · +278 | $21 | −21 |
| 2026-09-22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 22¢ · +350 | $11 | −11 |
| 2026-09-22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 1¢ · +9900 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-09-22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETNon-sports | Down | won | 29¢ · +248 | $16 | +36 |
| 2026-09-22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 9¢ · +1011 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-09-22 | Giants vs. Rams: O/U 47.5football · totals | Under | won | 65¢ · -186 | $150 | +14 |
| 2026-09-22 | Asian Games Women: Pakistan Women vs Bangladesh Womensoccer · moneyline | Bangladesh Women | lost | 15¢ · +569 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-09-22 | Asian Games Women: Pakistan Women vs Bangladesh Womensoccer · moneyline | Pakistan Women | won | 47¢ · +113 | $40 | +23 |
| 2026-09-22 | Giants vs. Ramsfootball · moneyline | Giants | lost | 23¢ · +339 | $57 | −57 |
| 2026-09-21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $46 | −46 |
| 2026-09-21 | Colts vs. Chiefs · Spread KC (-5.5)football · spreads | KC | lost | 25¢ · +300 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-09-21 | Caribbean Premier League: Antigua And Barbuda Falcons vs Jamaica Kingsmensoccer · moneyline | Jamaica Kingsmen | lost | 13¢ · +694 | $49 | −10 |
| 2026-09-21 | Caribbean Premier League: Antigua And Barbuda Falcons vs Jamaica Kingsmensoccer · moneyline | Antigua And Barbuda Falcons | won | 59¢ · -141 | $408 | +236 |
| 2026-09-21 | Colts vs. Chiefs · Spread Chiefs (-6.5)football · spreads | Chiefs | lost | 36¢ · +174 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-09-20 | Raiders vs. Chargersfootball · moneyline | Raiders | won | 33¢ · +203 | $80 | +162 |
| 2026-09-20 | Raiders vs. Chargers: O/U 32.5football · totals | Under | lost | 35¢ · +186 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-09-20 | Packers vs. Jetsfootball · moneyline | Jets | lost | 25¢ · +292 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-09-20 | Vikings vs. Bearsfootball · moneyline | Bears | lost | 10¢ · +900 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-09-20 | Vikings vs. Bearsfootball · moneyline | Vikings | won | 39¢ · +155 | $136 | +145 |
| 2026-09-20 | Metro Bank One Day Cup: Leicestershire vs Middlesexsoccer · moneyline | Middlesex | won | 55¢ · -122 | $123 | −2 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will J. J. Spaun win the 2026 BMW PGA Championship?golf · moneyline | Yes | won | 24¢ · +313 | $220 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Australia Tour of Zimbabwe ODIs: Zimbabwe vs Australiasoccer · moneyline | Australia | won | 17¢ · +493 | $31 | +147 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 15¢ · +567 | $10 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 4¢ · +2757 | $10 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Australia Tour of Zimbabwe ODIs: Zimbabwe vs Australiasoccer · moneyline | Zimbabwe | lost | 18¢ · +456 | $71 | +2 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Filippo Celli win the 2026 BMW PGA Championship?golf · moneyline | Yes | lost | 5¢ · +1735 | $17 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Asian Games Women: Pakistan Women vs Sri Lanka Womensoccer · moneyline | Pakistan Women | lost | 34¢ · +193 | $89 | −89 |
| 2026-09-19 | Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $157 | −157 |
| 2026-09-19 | Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 48¢ · +108 | $103 | +104 |
| 2026-09-19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 14¢ · +614 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 16¢ · +525 | $49 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Metro Bank One Day Cup Women: The Blaze vs Hampshire Womensoccer · moneyline | The Blaze | won | 46¢ · +118 | $277 | +243 |
| 2026-09-19 | ILT20 Continent Cup: Uganda vs Kenyasoccer · moneyline | Kenya | won | 37¢ · +172 | $149 | +249 |
| 2026-09-19 | South Africa Women Tour of Zimbabwe T20s: Zimbabwe Women vs South Africa Womensoccer · moneyline | Zimbabwe Women | lost | 3¢ · +3457 | $29 | −29 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 18¢ · +456 | $17 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5baseball · totals | Under | exited | 62¢ · -163 | $204 | +115 |
| 2026-09-19 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 44¢ · +127 | $93 | +112 |