Public evidence record

PredictFi

0xc8fda9be72ce6aea2c2d7ba74b0b14bf4ffe3e24

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-11.6%481 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-11.9%$122,804 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.68%305 pre-event fills

Settlement record

171-229-12Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−77.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 481 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -18.6% to -4.6%

481 closed positions · 587 taker fills · $122,804 deployed

Typical position $250 (median) · closing line value measured over 305 pre-event fills · 17% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis254 closed97–125–12-10.5%
Baseball158 closed55–73-9.4%
Basketball69 closed19–31-6.8%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Combo: Over — Feldbausch vs. Nagal: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 + Over — Batalla vs. Kicker: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5tennis · combo	—	won	52¢ · -110	$249	+216
2026-11-06	Combo: Over — Sasnovich vs. Sakkari: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 + Over — Feldbausch vs. Nagal: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5tennis · combo	—	lost	51¢ · -104	$263	−263
2026-11-06	Combo: Over — Sasnovich vs. Sakkari: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 + Over — Sonmez vs. Liu: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5tennis · combo	—	lost	52¢ · -110	$269	−269
2026-11-05	Combo: Over — Valentova vs. Eala: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 + Over — Cirstea vs. Stoiana: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5tennis · combo