Public evidence record

0xc98b…c6f3

0xc98bda4538e16519412c98e7d789619a01d9c6f3

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-5.2%164 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-9.1%$12,398 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.17%70 pre-event fills

Settlement record

77-74-4Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−23.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 164 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -15.1% to +4.7%

164 closed positions · 259 taker fills · $12,398 deployed

Typical position $53 (median) · closing line value measured over 70 pre-event fills · 13% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

3 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$4

Buenos Aires 2: Valentin Garay vs Alex Barrena

Valentin Garay

entry 7¢ · +1329now 6¢ · +1718−1.5 pts

Open

value$39

Boyer vs. Johnson: Match O/U 22.5

Over

entry 50¢ · -100now 52¢ · -106+1.5 pts

Open

value$29

St. Tropez: Matteo Martineau vs Tristan Schoolkate

Matteo Martineau

entry 50¢ · -100now 47¢ · +115−3.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis152 closed71–68–4-5.2%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Genoa 2: Dali Blanch vs Sandro Kopptennis · moneyline	Sandro Kopp	lost	49¢ · +104	$43	−43
2026-09-21	Saint Tropez: Matteo Martineau vs Justin Boulaistennis · moneyline	Matteo Martineau	won	64¢ · -178	$116	+62
2026-09-21	Singapore Open: Talia Gibson vs Fiona Ferrotennis · moneyline	Talia Gibson	won	60¢ · -150	$72	+46
2026-09-21	Set Handicap: Maja Chwalinska (-1.5) vs Rebecca Sramkova (+1.5)tennis · tennis set handicap	Rebecca Sramkova	lost