value$7
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?
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Public evidence record
0xcc0fff9c887f224efb7896a74b028a003459b9d0
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-14.8%230 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-7.3%$69,605 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-1.59%78 pre-event fillsSettlement record
87-132Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−48.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 230 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -24.3% to -5.3%
230 closed positions · 417 taker fills · $69,605 deployed
Typical position $40 (median) · closing line value measured over 78 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 55 sports · 45 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 19?Non-sports | No | lost | 6¢ · +1595 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-09-19 | San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbaseball · moneyline | San Francisco Giants | lost | 16¢ · +507 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-09-19 | Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)baseball · spreads | Los Angeles Dodgers | won | 15¢ · +567 | $1 | +0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 3.5 |
| Under |
| won |
| 78¢ · -355 |
| $5 |
| +1 |
| 2026-09-19 | Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 43¢ · +132 | $5 | +6 |
| 2026-09-19 | Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astrosbaseball · moneyline | Houston Astros | lost | 13¢ · +669 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-09-19 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbaseball · moneyline | Baltimore Orioles | lost | 30¢ · +233 | $11 | −3 |
| 2026-09-19 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbaseball · moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers | exited | 91¢ · -1011 | $82 | +0 |
| 2026-09-19 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-09-19 | Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Soxbaseball · moneyline | Detroit Tigers | won | 15¢ · +567 | $5 | +28 |
| 2026-09-17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 18?Non-sports | No | lost | 22¢ · +355 | $22 | −22 |
| 2026-09-16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 17?Non-sports | No | lost | 10¢ · +890 | $33 | −33 |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 82¢ · -456 | $83 | +16 |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 3¢ · +3293 | $1 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 15?Non-sports | No | lost | 2¢ · +5216 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-09-15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 15?Non-sports | No | lost | 12¢ · +745 | $11 | −11 |
| 2026-09-15 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 13¢ · +669 | $1 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 1¢ · +13233 | $2 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 14.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 69¢ · -223 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-09-15 | Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbaseball · moneyline | Arizona Diamondbacks | won | 18¢ · +456 | $2 | +9 |
| 2026-09-15 | Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 13.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $10 | −1 |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 40¢ · +147 | $21 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Non-sports | Yes | won | 56¢ · -127 | $10 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbaseball · moneyline | Colorado Rockies | lost | 24¢ · +317 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-09-15 | New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5baseball · totals | Over | won | 43¢ · +133 | $5 | +6 |
| 2026-09-15 | Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbaseball · moneyline | Detroit Tigers | won | 37¢ · +170 | $5 | +8 |
| 2026-09-15 | New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twinsbaseball · moneyline | New York Yankees | won | 24¢ · +317 | $5 | +15 |
| 2026-09-15 | San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbaseball · moneyline | San Francisco Giants | lost | 26¢ · +284 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-09-15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 15?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 5¢ · +1787 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-09-15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 15?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 2¢ · +5163 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 September 7-13?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 51¢ · -105 | $46 | −46 |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 7-13?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 16¢ · +525 | $37 | −37 |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 20¢ · +400 | $1 | — |
| 2026-09-11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 11?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 9¢ · +1024 | $11 | −11 |
| 2026-09-11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Non-sports | No | won | 54¢ · -120 | $70 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 4.5baseball · totals | Over | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $15 | −15 |
| 2026-09-10 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-09-10?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 3¢ · +3471 | $1 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 10?Non-sports | No | won | 67¢ · -200 | $27 | +10 |
| 2026-09-10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 10?Non-sports | No | lost | 2¢ · +4990 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-09-10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 10?Non-sports | No | lost | 16¢ · +541 | $2 | −2 |
| 2026-09-09 | Will the game go to extra innings?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Oriolesbaseball · baseball game extra innings | Yes | lost | 10¢ · +900 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-09-09 | Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Marinersbaseball · moneyline | Texas Rangers | lost | 11¢ · +809 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-09-09 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Francisco Giantsbaseball · moneyline | St. Louis Cardinals | lost | 16¢ · +537 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-09-09 | Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5baseball · totals | Over | won | 73¢ · -276 | $10 | +3 |
| 2026-09-09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 33¢ · +203 | $16 | −6 |
| 2026-09-09 | Will Abha Saudi Club win on 2026-09-09?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 4¢ · +2122 | $1 | — |
| 2026-09-09 | Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-09-09?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 1¢ · +6567 | $1 | — |
| 2026-09-09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 9?Non-sports | No | lost | 6¢ · +1567 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-09-09 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-09?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 9¢ · +1011 | $2 | — |
| 2026-09-08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?Non-sports | Yes | won | 86¢ · -614 | $47 | +4 |
| 2026-09-07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 7?Non-sports | No | lost | 2¢ · +4135 | $2 | −2 |
| 2026-09-07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 7?Non-sports | No | won | 48¢ · +108 | $30 | +19 |
| 2026-09-07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 7?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 2¢ · +5782 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-09-07 | Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-09-07 | Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Soxbaseball · moneyline | Minnesota Twins | lost | 6¢ · +1567 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-09-07 | Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 3.5baseball · totals | Over | won | 65¢ · -186 | $30 | +15 |
| 2026-09-06 | New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 94¢ · -1516 | $104 | −41 |
| 2026-09-06 | New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padresbaseball · moneyline | New York Yankees | lost | 14¢ · +598 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-09-06 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 15.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 69¢ · -223 | $10 | +4 |
| 2026-09-06 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangersbaseball · moneyline | Tampa Bay Rays | lost | 24¢ · +317 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-09-06 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Houston Astrosbaseball · moneyline | Houston Astros | lost | 25¢ · +300 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-09-06 | Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 79¢ · -382 | $66 | +16 |
| 2026-09-06 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 86¢ · -616 | $59 | +8 |
| 2026-09-06 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 17.5baseball · totals | Over | won | 49¢ · +104 | $30 | +29 |
| 2026-09-06 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 40¢ · +150 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-09-06 | Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 3¢ · +3283 | $4 | — |
| 2026-09-06 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?Non-sports | No | lost | 35¢ · +189 | $10 | — |
| 2026-09-06 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 1¢ · +10456 | $11 | — |
| 2026-09-06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 August 31-September 6?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 9¢ · +1011 | $11 | −11 |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 31-September 6?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 21¢ · +376 | $71 | −71 |
| 2026-09-02 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubsbaseball · moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers | won | 37¢ · +170 | $6 | +10 |
| 2026-09-02 | San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Redsbaseball · moneyline | San Diego Padres | lost | 7¢ · +1329 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-09-01 | San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbaseball · moneyline | San Francisco Giants | lost | 5¢ · +1900 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-09-01 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubsbaseball · moneyline | Chicago Cubs | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-09-01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 2?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 23¢ · +329 | $5 | — |
| 2026-09-01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 2?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 2¢ · +4445 | $5 | — |
| 2026-09-01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on September 2?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 3¢ · +3126 | $11 | — |
| 2026-09-01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 1?Non-sports | No | lost | 84¢ · -525 | $64 | — |
| 2026-09-01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 1?Non-sports | Yes | won | 32¢ · +212 | $39 | — |
| 2026-09-01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 1?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 6¢ · +1448 | $7 | — |
| 2026-09-01 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 6.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 48¢ · +108 | $10 | +11 |
| 2026-09-01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 1?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 4¢ · +2750 | $5 | — |
| 2026-09-01 | Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astrosbaseball · moneyline | Chicago White Sox | lost | 10¢ · +872 | $3 | −3 |
| 2026-09-01 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbaseball · moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies | won | 46¢ · +117 | $21 | +23 |
| 2026-09-01 | Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Soxbaseball · moneyline | Boston Red Sox | won | 86¢ · -614 | $10 | +2 |
| 2026-09-01 | New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles Angelsbaseball · moneyline | New York Yankees | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-09-01 | Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Soxbaseball · moneyline | Seattle Mariners | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-08-31 | San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Bravesbaseball · moneyline | San Francisco Giants | won | 34¢ · +194 | $10 | +19 |
| 2026-08-31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 11¢ · +843 | $11 | −11 |
| 2026-08-31 | Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-31?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 1¢ · +7018 | $11 | — |
| 2026-08-27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 9¢ · +1011 | $49 | −49 |
| 2026-08-27 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?Non-sports | No | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $59 | −12 |
| 2026-08-26 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5baseball · baseball team first five total | Under | lost | 71¢ · -245 | $173 | −173 |
| 2026-08-26 | Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giantsbaseball · moneyline | San Francisco Giants | lost | 18¢ · +468 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-08-26 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padresbaseball · moneyline | Pittsburgh Pirates | lost | 3¢ · +3514 | $11 | −11 |
| 2026-08-26 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5baseball · totals | Under | exited | 80¢ · -400 | $173 | +23 |
| 2026-08-26 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?Non-sports | No | won | 63¢ · -172 | $297 | +7 |
| 2026-08-26 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?Non-sports | No | won | 77¢ · -331 | $103 | +9 |
| 2026-08-24 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?Non-sports | No | lost | 47¢ · +114 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-08-24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 24?Non-sports | No | lost | 3¢ · +3126 | $6 | −6 |