Public evidence record

adidas6699

0xcdd2fbf379e6de751448cff95bde19f93dd14f62

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedOct 5, 2026

Source sync: Oct 3, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-2.0%536 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+0.3%$55,509 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.08%166 pre-event fills

Settlement record

245-161Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−16.8uDeepest peak-to-trough over 536 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -8.6% to +4.5%

536 closed positions · 1,072 taker fills · $55,509 deployed

Typical position $30 (median) · closing line value measured over 166 pre-event fills · 1% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

4 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$77

Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Yes

entry 19¢ · +425now 22¢ · +365+2.5 pts

Open

value$35

Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Yes

entry 13¢ · +670now 11¢ · +852−2.5 pts

Open

value$39

Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Yes

entry 15¢ · +567now 14¢ · +590−0.5 pts

Open

value$19

Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

Yes

entry 14¢ · +615now 14¢ · +641−0.5 pts

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer249 closed126–84-2.1%
Basketball177 closed65–37-2.1%
Tennis65 closed30–23-5.9%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 96 sports · 4 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-02	Combo: No — Will Romania win on 2026-10-02? + No — Will Italy win on 2026-10-02? + No — Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-10-02?soccer · combo	—	won	63¢ · -172	$100	+55
2026-10-02	Combo: Yes — Will Kazakhstan vs. Moldova end in a draw? + Yes — Will Cyprus vs. Armenia end in a draw? + Yes — Will Latvia vs. Montenegro end in a draw? + Yes — Will Ukraine vs. Northern Ireland end in a draw? + Yes — Will Hungary vs. Georgia end in a draw? + Yes — Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Sweden end in a draw?soccer · combo	—	lost	0¢ · +48714	$10	−10
2026-10-02	Porto 2: August Holmgren vs Henrique Rochatennis · moneyline	August Holmgren	lost	11¢ · +809	$6