Public evidence record

0xce6e…1256

0xce6e4b1980960fb83d0b4fb9aa6038e765b01256

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-5.3%411 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-4.1%$22,807 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+0.05%477 pre-event fills

Settlement record

166-227-8Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−24.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 411 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -14.0% to +3.4%

411 closed positions · 657 taker fills · $22,807 deployed

Typical position $52 (median) · closing line value measured over 477 pre-event fills · 2% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis372 closed153–202–8-4.2%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Exact Margin: Chiefs by 7-13football · exact margin	Yes	lost	30¢ · +234	$51	−51
2026-09-20	Raiders vs. Chargersfootball · moneyline	Raiders	won	27¢ · +270	$45	+123
2026-09-20	Spread: BAL (-8.5)football · spreads	NO	won	51¢ · -104	$49	+0
2026-09-19	Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)football · spreads	Seahawks	won	51¢ · -104	$51	+49