Public evidence record

frozenz

0xcea688b408e70f4bf9afaa665ae9e48733b567ad

Not ranked. market maker (45% maker fills). Available on-chain history is shown below; unresolved positions are excluded from these figures.

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-5.9%836 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.7%$296,370 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.21%606 pre-event fills

Settlement record

391-429Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−36.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 836 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -12.2% to +0.4%

836 closed positions · 939 taker fills · $296,370 deployed

Typical position $294 (median) · closing line value measured over 606 pre-event fills · 45% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports295 closed145–148-7.7%
Basketball288 closed131–150-5.3%
Football222 closed99–117-5.6%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Heat vs. Warriorsbasketball · moneyline	Heat	lost	42¢ · +138	$51	−51
2026-11-06	Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)football · spreads	Jaguars	won	51¢ · -104	$101	+95
2026-11-06	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winneresports · child moneyline	Dplus KIA	lost	48¢ · +108	$51	−51
2026-11-05	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline	Dplus KIA	lost	47¢ · +113