Public evidence record

azraee@70yrs🥳⛹🏾⚾⚽🥅

0xcfdb9ea506408484a2dc7816af5f7588edcd7a75

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 7, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-5.6%1,772 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-2.6%$169,161 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.83%917 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1158-522-9Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−62.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,772 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -8.3% to -2.9%

1,772 closed positions · 4,109 taker fills · $169,161 deployed

Typical position $40 (median) · closing line value measured over 917 pre-event fills · 6% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$13

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes

entry 60¢ · -152now 39¢ · +156−21.2 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Basketball675 closed459–182-6.3%
Baseball329 closed212–90-4.1%
Esports324 closed218–101–4-3.3%
Hockey178 closed106–57-6.5%
Tennis146 closed88–54–3-8.1%
Football90 closed62–24–2-4.2%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 83 sports · 17 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-30	Will North East United FC win on 2026-10-30?soccer · moneyline	Yes	lost	86¢ · -635	$149	—
2026-10-30	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffsesports · moneyline	PARIVISION	lost	72¢ · -263	$203	−203
2026-10-30	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffsesports · moneyline	Team Spirit	won	46¢ · +117	$21	−11
2026-10-30	Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-10-29?