Public evidence record

PoPahote

0xd00c2e2e48af0cf9146a5e7792629bbdf9688154

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedOct 5, 2026

Source sync: Oct 3, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-5.2%212 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-2.8%$55,138 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.00%189 pre-event fills

Settlement record

111-82-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−7.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 212 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -13.2% to +2.8%

212 closed positions · 333 taker fills · $55,138 deployed

Typical position $200 (median) · closing line value measured over 189 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer146 closed80–54-4.1%
Tennis57 closed26–25–1-7.6%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-02	Combo: No — France vs. Italy: O/U 4.5 + No — Belgium vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5soccer · combo	—	exited	57¢ · -135	$190	+133
2026-10-01	Combo: Under — Greece vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5 + Serbia — Spread: Germany (-3.5) + Over — Denmark vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5soccer · combo	—	lost	42¢ · +140	$200	−200
2026-09-30	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score	Yes	lost	51¢ · -104	$66	−66
2026-09-27	Combo: Under — Serbia vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5 + Yes — Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27?soccer · combo