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Public evidence record
0xd092ec91cec1e2e2ee39755d2e883cd7bedb342a
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 25, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-1.4%2,368 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-2.0%$970,839 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-1.26%1,620 pre-event fillsSettlement record
1298-914-1Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−70.0uDeepest peak-to-trough over 2,368 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -4.5% to +1.8%
2,368 closed positions · 3,103 taker fills · $970,839 deployed
Typical position $400 (median) · closing line value measured over 1,620 pre-event fills · 23% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 89 sports · 11 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5baseball · totals | Over | won | 57¢ · -133 | $101 | +75 |
| 2026-09-25 | Houston Astros vs. Athleticsbaseball · moneyline | Houston Astros | won | 60¢ · -150 | $103 | +64 |
| 2026-09-25 | Falcons vs. Packersfootball · moneyline | Falcons | won | 70¢ · -233 | $101 | +42 |
| 2026-09-24 | Combo: Over — Netherlands vs. Germany: O/U 2.5 + Over — Norway vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5 |
| — |
| lost |
| 44¢ · +129 |
| $100 |
| −100 |
| 2026-09-24 | New York Mets vs. Texas Rangersbaseball · moneyline | New York Mets | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $92 | −92 |
| 2026-09-24 | San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 54¢ · -117 | $103 | +82 |
| 2026-09-24 | Seattle Sounders FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $101 | −101 |
| 2026-09-23 | Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigersbaseball · moneyline | Detroit Tigers | lost | 62¢ · -163 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-23 | Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giantsbaseball · moneyline | Minnesota Twins | won | 56¢ · -127 | $102 | +75 |
| 2026-09-23 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?Non-sports | Yes | won | 73¢ · -270 | $102 | — |
| 2026-09-22 | FC Internazionale Milano vs. BK Häcken FF: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $101 | −101 |
| 2026-09-22 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankeesbaseball · moneyline | New York Yankees | won | 55¢ · -122 | $102 | +79 |
| 2026-09-22 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 74¢ · -288 | $102 | — |
| 2026-09-21 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 53¢ · -112 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-21 | Giants vs. Rams: O/U 47.5football · totals | Over | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-21 | FC Petrolul Ploieşti vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-21 | CA Aldosivi vs. CA Tucumán: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 66¢ · -194 | $103 | +49 |
| 2026-09-21 | Colts vs. Chiefs: O/U 50.5football · totals | Over | won | 70¢ · -233 | $101 | +42 |
| 2026-09-20 | Panthers vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5football · totals | Over | lost | 67¢ · -203 | $98 | −98 |
| 2026-09-20 | FC Porto vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 51¢ · -104 | $103 | +93 |
| 2026-09-20 | Olympique de Marseille vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 61¢ · -156 | $101 | +63 |
| 2026-09-20 | Inter Miami CF vs. San Diego FC: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 72¢ · -257 | $102 | +36 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?Non-sports | No | won | 91¢ · -1011 | $102 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 58¢ · -138 | $101 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 66¢ · -194 | $103 | +49 |
| 2026-09-20 | Combo: Yes — Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-09-20? + Yes — Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · combo | — | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $100 | −100 |
| 2026-09-20 | Combo: Over — AZ vs. Telstar 1963: O/U 2.5 + Over — FC Twente vs. PSV: O/U 2.5soccer · combo | — | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $100 | −100 |
| 2026-09-20 | FC Schalke 04 vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $101 | −101 |
| 2026-09-20 | Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $100 | −100 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will OGC Nice win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $104 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | NEC vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 65¢ · -186 | $101 | −101 |
| 2026-09-20 | FC Salzburg vs. SK Sturm Graz: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 63¢ · -170 | $101 | +58 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 53¢ · -113 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 63¢ · -170 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-20 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-20 | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 63¢ · -170 | $206 | +112 |
| 2026-09-20 | AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 65¢ · -186 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-20 | Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-20 | Combo: Over — Real Salt Lake vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5 + Over — Portland Timbers vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 1.5 + Over — Colorado Rapids SC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 1.5soccer · combo | — | lost | 60¢ · -147 | $100 | −100 |
| 2026-09-20 | New England Revolution vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 67¢ · -203 | $101 | +49 |
| 2026-09-20 | Nashville SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 65¢ · -190 | $103 | +50 |
| 2026-09-20 | Minnesota United FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 67¢ · -203 | $103 | +47 |
| 2026-09-20 | Houston Dynamo vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 62¢ · -163 | $103 | +58 |
| 2026-09-19 | Combo: Yes — Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score + Over — SG Dynamo Dresden vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 2.5soccer · combo | — | won | 43¢ · +130 | $100 | +124 |
| 2026-09-19 | VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 59¢ · -144 | $101 | −101 |
| 2026-09-19 | Nottingham Forest FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $100 | −100 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 74¢ · -285 | $102 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Paris FC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 61¢ · -156 | $101 | +63 |
| 2026-09-19 | ADO Den Haag vs. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $101 | −101 |
| 2026-09-19 | Combo: Over — Cardiff City FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5 + Over — Millwall FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5soccer · combo | — | won | 34¢ · +192 | $100 | +183 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | No | exited | 59¢ · -144 | $101 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Everton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $101 | −101 |
| 2026-09-19 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 56¢ · -127 | $101 | +78 |
| 2026-09-19 | Athletic Club vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 65¢ · -186 | $103 | +51 |
| 2026-09-19 | Birmingham City FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 51¢ · -104 | $100 | +96 |
| 2026-09-19 | SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 58¢ · -138 | $101 | +72 |
| 2026-09-19 | Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 54¢ · -117 | $101 | +85 |
| 2026-09-19 | Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 56¢ · -127 | $103 | +75 |
| 2026-09-18 | RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 52¢ · -108 | $100 | +92 |
| 2026-09-18 | AS Monaco FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 59¢ · -144 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-18 | Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 57¢ · -133 | $101 | +75 |
| 2026-09-18 | AC Monza vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 53¢ · -113 | $101 | +88 |
| 2026-09-18 | New York City FC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 64¢ · -178 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-18 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?Non-sports | Yes | won | 74¢ · -292 | $102 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 66¢ · -194 | $101 | +51 |
| 2026-09-17 | Lions vs. Bills: O/U 54.5football · totals | Under | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $104 | −104 |
| 2026-09-17 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 69¢ · -223 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Will Málaga CF win on 2026-09-17?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 55¢ · -122 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Inter Miami CF vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 1.5totals · Non-sports | Over | won | 59¢ · -144 | $101 | +69 |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?Non-sports | Yes | won | 62¢ · -162 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?Non-sports | No | won | 93¢ · -1306 | $101 | +5 |
| 2026-09-15 | Reading FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $101 | −101 |
| 2026-09-15 | Deportivo Alavés vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 69¢ · -223 | $103 | +41 |
| 2026-09-15 | Hibernian FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $101 | −101 |
| 2026-09-15 | ACF Fiorentina vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-15 | Genoa CFC vs. FC Südtirol: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 66¢ · -194 | $103 | +47 |
| 2026-09-14 | SC Braga vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 67¢ · -203 | $103 | +47 |
| 2026-09-14 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Non-sports | Yes | won | 70¢ · -228 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | San Diego FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 62¢ · -163 | $101 | +61 |
| 2026-09-14 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?Non-sports | Yes | won | 85¢ · -567 | $102 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Combo: Over — Chicago Fire FC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 2.5 + Yes — Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-09-13?soccer · combo | — | lost | 50¢ · -101 | $100 | −100 |
| 2026-09-13 | Combo: Over — Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5 + Over — Stade Brestois 29 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5soccer · combo | — | lost | 44¢ · +129 | $100 | −100 |
| 2026-09-13 | Asteras Tripolis vs. AEK Athens: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 62¢ · -163 | $101 | −101 |
| 2026-09-13 | Galatasaray SK vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $91 | −91 |
| 2026-09-13 | SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 73¢ · -270 | $101 | +35 |
| 2026-09-13 | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-13?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 50¢ · -100 | $101 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Randers FC vs. Odense BK: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 58¢ · -138 | $101 | +70 |
| 2026-09-13 | Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $101 | −101 |
| 2026-09-13 | Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 62¢ · -163 | $101 | +61 |
| 2026-09-13 | Coventry City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 50¢ · -100 | $101 | +100 |
| 2026-09-13 | Combo: Over — Inter Miami CF vs. Nashville SC: O/U 2.5 + Over — FC Cincinnati vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 2.5 + Over — FC Dallas vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 2.5soccer · combo | — | won | 37¢ · +170 | $100 | +162 |
| 2026-09-13 | Combo: Over — Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 2.5 + Over — Colorado Rapids SC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 2.5soccer · combo | — | lost | 40¢ · +153 | $100 | −100 |
| 2026-09-13 | San Jose Earthquakes vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-12 | Fortuna Sittard vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | exited | 59¢ · -144 | $100 | +62 |
| 2026-09-12 | FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $100 | −91 |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 52¢ · -108 | $101 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | 1. FC Köln vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $101 | −101 |
| 2026-09-12 | Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $101 | −101 |
| 2026-09-12 | Athletic Club vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $101 | −101 |
| 2026-09-12 | Combo: Yes — Crystal Palace FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 2.5 + Yes — AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5soccer · combo | — | exited | 33¢ · +199 | $100 | +189 |