Public evidence record

0xd12d…f0db

0xd12dfc5768b85a3eea0b1808939317697449f0db

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedOct 6, 2026

Source sync: Oct 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-5.6%383 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-6.4%$277,508 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+0.34%136 pre-event fills

Settlement record

213-146Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−40.8uDeepest peak-to-trough over 383 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -11.7% to +0.6%

383 closed positions · 1,242 taker fills · $277,508 deployed

Typical position $372 (median) · closing line value measured over 136 pre-event fills · 20% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports350 closed191–139-6.1%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 98 sports · 2 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-05	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stageesports · moneyline	Vitality	won	49¢ · +103	$3,075	+2,180
2026-10-05	Counter-Strike: M80 vs TYLOO (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stageesports · moneyline	M80	won	59¢ · -144	$1,021	+674
2026-10-05	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline	Spirit	lost	53¢ · -113	$1,535	−686
2026-10-05