Public evidence record

shirleyyyyyy

0xd22902aa669116e3d49ed9ebb2403c919bc18917

Not ranked. median stake under $25 (typical position $20.00). Available on-chain history is shown below; unresolved positions are excluded from these figures.

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-2.6%550 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.4%$12,535 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.52%554 pre-event fills

Settlement record

405-136-3Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−15.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 550 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -6.9% to +1.7%

550 closed positions · 624 taker fills · $12,535 deployed

Typical position $20 (median) · closing line value measured over 554 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

2 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$11

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes

entry 83¢ · -488now 95¢ · -1718+11.5 pts

Open

value$11

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Yes

entry 51¢ · -104now 56¢ · -125+4.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Basketball225 closed171–50-3.2%
Football103 closed78–23-4.1%
Baseball83 closed50–32–1-5.3%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 99 sports · 1 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-03	Hornets vs. Netsbasketball · moneyline	Hornets	lost	58¢ · -138	$5	−5
2026-11-01	Patriots vs. Dolphinsfootball · moneyline	Patriots	won	76¢ · -317	$4	+1
2026-10-31	Chargers vs. Ramsfootball · moneyline	Rams	won	74¢ · -285	$5	+2
2026-10-30	Pistons vs. Netsbasketball · moneyline	Pistons