Public evidence record

snowwhite01

0xd49ba955f55a371c297cdcbe6b90e7f5afd9abff

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-17.5%465 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+0.3%$89,312 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.74%112 pre-event fills

Settlement record

123-302-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−57.5uDeepest peak-to-trough over 465 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -26.4% to -8.7%

465 closed positions · 785 taker fills · $89,312 deployed

Typical position $100 (median) · closing line value measured over 112 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

2 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$1031

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes

entry 49¢ · +104now 51¢ · -102+1.5 pts

Open

value$543

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?

Yes

entry 48¢ · +108now 16¢ · +512−31.8 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis142 closed43–89–1-10.8%
Soccer107 closed19–74-15.1%
multi sport93 closed27–58-20.1%
Football89 closed23–60-12.5%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 98 sports · 2 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Combo: Ben Shelton — Set Handicap: Tommy Paul (-1.5) vs Ben Shelton (+1.5) + Jaguars — Jaguars vs. Ravens + Under — Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 50.5multi sport · combo	—	won	46¢ · +117	$171	+190
2026-11-05	Combo: Yes — AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5 + Yes — Jaguars vs. Ravens + Yes — Set Handicap: Taylor Fritz (-1.5) vs Arthur Fils (+1.5) + Yes — Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? + Yes — Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-05?multi sport · combo	—	exited	34¢ · +194	$350	+424
2026-11-05	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-05?soccer · moneyline	No	lost	20¢ · +397	$67	—