Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?
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Public evidence record
0xd673df94d847898102c8eec850ccc606793c2305
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-4.4%286 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-5.0%$13,295 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
+6.84%503 pre-event fillsSettlement record
167-94-15Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−30.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 286 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -11.2% to +2.4%
286 closed positions · 1,033 taker fills · $13,295 deployed
Typical position $24 (median) · closing line value measured over 503 pre-event fills · 12% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.
Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 96 sports · 4 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Dota 2: Pibbles Corp vs Hokori - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Hokori | won | 60¢ · -150 | $3 | +2 |
| 2026-09-21 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Team Yandex | won | 70¢ · -233 | $30 | +12 |
| 2026-09-21 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Team Yandex | won | 55¢ · -122 | $31 | +24 |
| 2026-09-21 | Dota 2: Pibbles Corp vs Hokori - Game 1 Winner |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September?
| Pibbles Corp |
| lost |
| 75¢ · -308 |
| $67 |
| −67 |
| 2026-09-21 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Xtreme Gaming | won | 46¢ · +117 | $2 | +3 |
| 2026-09-21 | Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Yakult Brothers | won | 57¢ · -133 | $90 | +64 |
| 2026-09-21 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Xtreme Gaming | won | 45¢ · +122 | $2 | +3 |
| 2026-09-21 | Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Yakult Brothers | won | 41¢ · +144 | $31 | +42 |
| 2026-09-21 | Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | GamerLegion | won | 53¢ · -113 | $31 | +26 |
| 2026-09-21 | Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Pipsqueak+4 | won | 51¢ · -104 | $3 | +2 |
| 2026-09-21 | Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Cobra - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Aurora | won | 77¢ · -335 | $4 | +1 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will AA Internacional Limeira SP win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 83¢ · -488 | $30 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Aurora | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $62 | −62 |
| 2026-09-20 | Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Yakult Brothers | won | 34¢ · +194 | $2 | +3 |
| 2026-09-20 | Dota 2: GamerLegion vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | GamerLegion | lost | 42¢ · +138 | $2 | −2 |
| 2026-09-20 | Dota 2: GamerLegion vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | LGD Gaming | won | 73¢ · -270 | $4 | +1 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Non-sports | Yes | won | 77¢ · -336 | $100 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Cobra (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stageesports · moneyline | Team Cobra | won | 40¢ · +150 | $2 | +3 |
| 2026-09-20 | Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stageesports · moneyline | Conventus Stellarum | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $3 | −3 |
| 2026-09-20 | Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Xtreme Gaming | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-09-20 | Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Cobra - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | PlayTime | won | 58¢ · -138 | $3 | +2 |
| 2026-09-19 | Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Aurora | lost | 76¢ · -317 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-09-19 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | LGD Gaming | won | 61¢ · -156 | $3 | +2 |
| 2026-09-19 | Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stageesports · moneyline | Conventus Stellarum | won | 79¢ · -368 | $84 | +22 |
| 2026-09-19 | Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Cobra - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | GamerLegion | won | 76¢ · -317 | $4 | +1 |
| 2026-09-19 | Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Conventus Stellarum | lost | 74¢ · -285 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-09-19 | Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Cobra - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Team Cobra | lost | 38¢ · +163 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-09-19 | Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Conventus Stellarum | won | 80¢ · -400 | $4 | +1 |
| 2026-09-19 | Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Team Nemesis | won | 41¢ · +144 | $103 | +141 |
| 2026-09-19 | Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Pibbles Corp - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Xtreme Gaming | won | 80¢ · -400 | $51 | +12 |
| 2026-09-17 | Dota 2: Kalmychata vs uralan (BO3) - European Pro League Group Besports · moneyline | Kalmychata | won | 80¢ · -400 | $51 | +12 |
| 2026-09-15 | Gemini 4.0 released by September 15, 2026?Non-sports | No | won | 100¢ · -99900 | $50 | +0 |
| 2026-09-14 | Will Apple TV win the most Emmys?Non-sports | Yes | won | 88¢ · -762 | $50 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 90¢ · -900 | $100 | +7 |
| 2026-09-13 | Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Klim Sani4 - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Klim Sani4 | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-09-13 | Dota 2: Execration vs Team Bored - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Execration | won | 63¢ · -170 | $51 | +28 |
| 2026-09-13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Non-sports | Yes | won | 80¢ · -400 | $101 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Direborn (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsesports · moneyline | Direborn | lost | 28¢ · +257 | $2 | −2 |
| 2026-09-12 | Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Zero Tenacity | lost | 25¢ · +300 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-09-10 | Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Klim Sani4 - Game 3 Winneresports · child moneyline | Natus Vincere | won | 72¢ · -263 | $19 | +7 |
| 2026-09-10 | Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Klim Sani4 - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Klim Sani4 | lost | 45¢ · +122 | $59 | −59 |
| 2026-09-10 | Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Klim Sani4 - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Klim Sani4 | lost | 44¢ · +127 | $12 | −12 |
| 2026-09-10 | Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Klim Sani4 - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | GamerLegion | lost | 68¢ · -212 | $15 | −15 |
| 2026-09-09 | Dota 2: MOUZ vs Klim Sani4 - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Klim Sani4 | lost | 58¢ · -140 | $9 | −9 |
| 2026-09-09 | Dota 2: Klim Sani4 vs Team Synapse (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffsesports · moneyline | Klim Sani4 | won | 76¢ · -312 | $7 | +2 |
| 2026-09-09 | Dota 2: MOUZ vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffsesports · moneyline | HULIGANI | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $21 | −21 |
| 2026-09-09 | Dota 2: MOUZ vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | MOUZ | won | 44¢ · +127 | $27 | +32 |
| 2026-09-09 | Dota 2: MOUZ vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | MOUZ | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $2 | −1 |
| 2026-09-08 | Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffsesports · moneyline | GamerLegion | won | 71¢ · -240 | $15 | +6 |
| 2026-09-08 | Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | MOUZ | won | 43¢ · +133 | $45 | +57 |
| 2026-09-08 | Dota 2: Power Rangers vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | HULIGANI | won | 66¢ · -194 | $13 | +6 |
| 2026-09-07 | Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | GamerLegion | won | 67¢ · -203 | $5 | +2 |
| 2026-09-07 | Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Synapse (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffsesports · moneyline | MOUZ | won | 78¢ · -355 | $5 | +1 |
| 2026-09-07 | Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Klim Sani4 - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Klim Sani4 | won | 65¢ · -186 | $39 | +20 |
| 2026-09-06 | Dota 2: Level UP vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Team Lynx | won | 61¢ · -156 | $5 | +3 |
| 2026-09-06 | Dota 2: Level UP vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Level UP | won | 61¢ · -157 | $22 | +13 |
| 2026-09-06 | Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | 4ikibamboni | won | 45¢ · +122 | $33 | +38 |
| 2026-09-06 | Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Level UP | lost | 82¢ · -456 | $3 | −3 |
| 2026-09-06 | Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Zero Tenacity | won | 63¢ · -173 | $11 | +6 |
| 2026-09-06 | Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | DYNASTY | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $2 | −2 |
| 2026-09-06 | Dota 2: Klim Sani4 vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Besports · moneyline | Pipsqueak+4 | won | 58¢ · -138 | $16 | +11 |
| 2026-09-06 | Dota 2: Klim Sani4 vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Klim Sani4 | won | 52¢ · -107 | $62 | +55 |
| 2026-09-06 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffsesports · moneyline | Spirit | won | 65¢ · -186 | $13 | +7 |
| 2026-09-05 | Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Besports · moneyline | Spirit Academy | won | 67¢ · -203 | $2 | +1 |
| 2026-09-05 | Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | DYNASTY | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $2 | −2 |
| 2026-09-05 | Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Team Lynx | won | 32¢ · +212 | $2 | +3 |
| 2026-09-05 | Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Power Rangers | lost | 67¢ · -205 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-09-04 | Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Synapse - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Team Synapse | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $2 | −2 |
| 2026-09-04 | Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Zero Tenacity | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-09-04 | Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Zero Tenacity | lost | 41¢ · +141 | $14 | −14 |
| 2026-09-03 | Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Klim Sani4 - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Klim Sani4 | won | 75¢ · -297 | $31 | +10 |
| 2026-09-03 | Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Klim Sani4 - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Klim Sani4 | exited | 72¢ · -257 | $2 | −0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs 4ikibamboni - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | 4ikibamboni | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $3 | −3 |
| 2026-09-02 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Team Synapse | won | 59¢ · -142 | $9 | +6 |
| 2026-09-02 | Dota 2: DYNASTY vs PuckChamp - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | DYNASTY | won | 80¢ · -400 | $9 | +2 |
| 2026-09-02 | Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Aesports · moneyline | Power Rangers | won | 70¢ · -233 | $6 | +3 |
| 2026-09-02 | Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Inner Circle - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Power Rangers | won | 72¢ · -257 | $7 | +2 |
| 2026-09-01 | Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Besports · moneyline | Spirit Academy | lost | 38¢ · +163 | $9 | −9 |
| 2026-09-01 | Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Inner Circle | won | 48¢ · +107 | $52 | +53 |
| 2026-08-31 | Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Team Synapse | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-08-30 | Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Klim Sani4 - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Klim Sani4 | won | 81¢ · -426 | $1 | +0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Dota 2: Level UP vs Power Rangers (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Aesports · moneyline | Level UP | won | 66¢ · -194 | $5 | +2 |
| 2026-08-30 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-30?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 55¢ · -125 | $12 | — |
| 2026-08-30 | Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | MOUZ | lost | 40¢ · +150 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-08-30 | Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Level UP - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Team Lynx | won | 58¢ · -135 | $7 | +5 |
| 2026-08-30 | Dota 2: Cloud Rising vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Yakult Brothers | won | 66¢ · -194 | $3 | +1 |
| 2026-08-30 | Dota 2: Ice Cream Men vs Execration (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsesports · moneyline | Execration | won | 57¢ · -133 | $3 | +2 |
| 2026-08-30 | Dota 2: Ice Cream Men vs Execration - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Execration | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $2 | −2 |
| 2026-08-29 | Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Level UP (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsesports · moneyline | Level UP | won | 49¢ · +105 | $14 | +14 |
| 2026-08-29 | Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Level UP - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Pipsqueak+4 | won | 45¢ · +122 | $20 | +23 |
| 2026-08-29 | Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Team Lynx (BO3) - BLAST Slam Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsesports · moneyline | Team Lynx | won | 44¢ · +127 | $9 | +11 |
| 2026-08-29 | LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winneresports · child moneyline | Top Esports | won | 61¢ · -157 | $59 | +36 |
| 2026-08-29 | LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Top Esports | lost | 69¢ · -219 | $44 | −44 |
| 2026-08-29 | LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winneresports · child moneyline | T1 | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $53 | −53 |
| 2026-08-29 | LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Top Esports | lost | 69¢ · -221 | $18 | −18 |
| 2026-08-29 | LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | T1 | lost | 57¢ · -131 | $12 | −12 |
| 2026-08-29 | LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | T1 | won | 66¢ · -190 | $33 | +16 |
| 2026-08-28 | LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Team Vitality | won | 61¢ · -158 | $22 | +13 |
| 2026-08-28 | LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Team Vitality | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $54 | −54 |
| 2026-08-28 | LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Team Heretics | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $16 | −16 |