Public evidence record

Mobyembre

0xd68eba02e662023b16e4d134c1fcd8875c1e8048

Record anatomy

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Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 24, 2026

Source sync: Sep 23, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.3%5,675 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.4%$487,583 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.06%3,598 pre-event fills

Settlement record

2146-743-3Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−206.8uDeepest peak-to-trough over 5,675 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -4.4% to -2.1%

5,675 closed positions · 12,134 taker fills · $487,583 deployed

Typical position $56 (median) · closing line value measured over 3,598 pre-event fills · 7% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

7 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$10

China PR vs. Maldives: O/U 8.5

Under

entry 96¢ · -2122now 100¢+4.5 pts

Open

value$8

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Team Yandex

entry 83¢ · -488now 81¢ · -413−2.5 pts

Open

value$9

Uzbekistan vs. IR Iran: O/U 4.5

Under

entry 94¢ · -1564now 87¢ · -669−7.0 pts

Open

value$8

Counter-Strike: Teletubisie vs OldMix (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

Teletubisie

entry 83¢ · -488now 100¢+17.0 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports2,179 closed737–323–1-4.2%
Soccer2,075 closed719–212–1-4.0%
Tennis906 closed421–119–1-1.1%
Basketball455 closed233–78-2.9%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-23	LoL: Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports vs ØTF (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Desports · moneyline	Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports	won	86¢ · -614	$9	+1
2026-09-23	Gibraltar vs. São Tomé e Príncipe: O/U 5.5soccer · totals	Under	won	94¢ · -1567	$9	+1
2026-09-23	Azerbaijan vs. Tajikistan: O/U 4.5soccer · totals	Under	won	92¢ · -1150	$9	+1
2026-09-23	LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Pyramid IV Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Aesports · moneyline	Skillcamp Esport	won

Mobyembre

Know what this profile can prove.

Currently holding

Under

Team Yandex

Under

Teletubisie

By sport

Position log

Maria Sakkari

England

West Indies Women