Public evidence record

0xd6e4…68be

0xd6e4ff02559b36ed56c4ff96315e20393b4968be

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedOct 11, 2026

Source sync: Oct 11, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-5.5%266 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.1%$22,464 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.27%104 pre-event fills

Settlement record

81-167Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−40.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 266 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -17.3% to +6.3%

266 closed positions · 474 taker fills · $22,464 deployed

Typical position $66 (median) · closing line value measured over 104 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$337

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe

Frances Tiafoe

entry 35¢ · +182now 47¢ · +115+11.0 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis259 closed80–161-4.4%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 86 sports · 14 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-10	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-10?soccer · moneyline	Yes	lost	25¢ · +300	$134	—
2026-10-10	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherottennis · moneyline	Sebastian Baez	lost	10¢ · +900	$100	−100
2026-10-10	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Alex Michelsentennis · moneyline	Botic van de Zandschulp	won	36¢ · +181	$500	+833
2026-10-10