Public evidence record

Yeshoua777

0xda8aac7bb273b8d382f46fe463fd308f4e9f2dba

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 25, 2026

Source sync: Sep 25, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-4.6%536 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-2.7%$19,923 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.26%573 pre-event fills

Settlement record

267-247-4Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−23.8uDeepest peak-to-trough over 536 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -11.5% to +2.2%

536 closed positions · 769 taker fills · $19,923 deployed

Typical position $33 (median) · closing line value measured over 573 pre-event fills · 3% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

2 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$74

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees

Baltimore Orioles

entry 65¢ · -186now 99¢ · -6797+33.6 pts

Open

value$79

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Yes

entry 13¢ · +647now 7¢ · +1415−6.8 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports169 closed77–79–1-5.9%
Soccer129 closed58–71-10.4%
Tennis127 closed69–53–3-2.8%
Baseball55 closed33–21-2.7%
Basketball53 closed29–21-2.8%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 95 sports · 5 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-25	Counter-Strike: PsychoFace vs mellren (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Playoffsesports · moneyline	mellren	won	52¢ · -108	$41	+36
2026-09-24	Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubsbaseball · moneyline	Chicago Cubs	won	61¢ · -156	$14	+9
2026-09-24	Will Denmark win on 2026-09-24?soccer · moneyline	Yes	lost	17¢ · +488	$5	—
2026-09-24	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?