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Public evidence record
0xdae807e369f789ccfd5e4f9d503c980ce8e742c1
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-3.9%213 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-3.3%$44,313 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-1.11%126 pre-event fillsSettlement record
84-106-1Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−17.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 213 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -13.6% to +5.7%
213 closed positions · 449 taker fills · $44,313 deployed
Typical position $150 (median) · closing line value measured over 126 pre-event fills · 9% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Colts vs. Chiefsfootball · moneyline | Colts | lost | 29¢ · +247 | $207 | +55 |
| 2026-09-20 | Jaguars vs. Broncosfootball · moneyline | Jaguars | lost | 44¢ · +127 | $146 | −146 |
| 2026-09-20 | Bengals vs. Texansfootball · moneyline | Texans | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $172 | −172 |
| 2026-09-20 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Aurora Gaming | won | 26¢ · +285 | $100 |
| +272 |
| 2026-09-20 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Aurora Gaming | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $97 | −97 |
| 2026-09-20 | South Dakota vs. Boise Statefootball · moneyline | South Dakota | lost | 25¢ · +302 | $105 | −105 |
| 2026-09-20 | UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Joshua Van | exited | 59¢ · -144 | $146 | +96 |
| 2026-09-20 | UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Mauricio Ruffy | lost | 28¢ · +257 | $97 | −97 |
| 2026-09-20 | UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Dooho Choi | lost | 70¢ · -233 | $194 | −194 |
| 2026-09-20 | UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Iwo Baraniewski | lost | 74¢ · -285 | $101 | −101 |
| 2026-09-20 | Mississippi State vs. South Carolina · Spread South Carolina (-3.5)football · spreads | Mississippi State | won | 52¢ · -108 | $100 | +92 |
| 2026-09-20 | UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Charles Jourdain | lost | 64¢ · -178 | $89 | −89 |
| 2026-09-19 | UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | JooSang Yoo | lost | 62¢ · -163 | $82 | −82 |
| 2026-09-19 | UFC 331: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)mma · moneyline | Ryan Gandra | won | 81¢ · -426 | $146 | +32 |
| 2026-09-19 | UFC 331: Edmen Shahbazyan vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)mma · moneyline | Edmen Shahbazyan | exited | 63¢ · -170 | $97 | +54 |
| 2026-09-19 | VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 51¢ · -104 | $95 | +87 |
| 2026-09-19 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Aurora Gaming | won | 37¢ · +170 | $113 | +184 |
| 2026-09-19 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | FURIA | lost | 30¢ · +233 | $34 | −34 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $204 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 62¢ · -163 | $102 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | FC Juárez vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $85 | −85 |
| 2026-09-18 | Spread: Texas Tech (-7.5)football · spreads | Houston | won | 50¢ · -100 | $94 | +90 |
| 2026-09-18 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Vitality | exited | 53¢ · -112 | $97 | +82 |
| 2026-09-18 | Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Aurora Gaming | won | 62¢ · -163 | $104 | +60 |
| 2026-09-18 | Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Aurora Gaming | won | 65¢ · -186 | $70 | +36 |
| 2026-09-18 | LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffsesports · moneyline | JD Gaming | exited | 60¢ · -150 | $76 | +48 |
| 2026-09-18 | Spread: Bills (-5.5)football · spreads | Bills | won | 51¢ · -104 | $94 | +86 |
| 2026-09-17 | Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-17?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 45¢ · +122 | $62 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffsesports · moneyline | FURIA | won | 67¢ · -203 | $82 | +38 |
| 2026-09-13 | Cowboys vs. Giantsfootball · moneyline | Cowboys | lost | 62¢ · -163 | $150 | −150 |
| 2026-09-13 | Packers vs. Vikingsfootball · moneyline | Packers | lost | 45¢ · +122 | $162 | −162 |
| 2026-09-13 | Ravens vs. Coltsfootball · moneyline | Ravens | exited | 60¢ · -150 | $194 | +123 |
| 2026-09-13 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 45¢ · +122 | $143 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Hanwha Life Esports | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $205 | −205 |
| 2026-09-10 | Patriots vs. Seahawksfootball · moneyline | Patriots | lost | 39¢ · +156 | $28 | −6 |
| 2026-09-09 | Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group Besports · moneyline | FaZe | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $200 | −200 |
| 2026-09-09 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royalsbaseball · moneyline | Kansas City Royals | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $200 | −200 |
| 2026-09-09 | Dana White's Contender Series: Quentin Pasley vs. Arlind Berisha (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Arlind Berisha | lost | 62¢ · -166 | $177 | −177 |
| 2026-09-09 | Dana White's Contender Series: Isaac Moreno vs. Reginaldo Junior (Welterweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Isaac Moreno | won | 54¢ · -117 | $208 | +168 |
| 2026-09-09 | Dana White's Contender Series: Christian Echols vs. Martin Kozák (Middleweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Christian Echols | lost | 17¢ · +477 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-09-08 | Dana White's Contender Series: Kwon Won Il vs. Apollo Gomes (Bantamweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Kwon Won Il | lost | 50¢ · +101 | $120 | −120 |
| 2026-09-08 | US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsentennis · moneyline | Frances Tiafoe | won | 50¢ · +101 | $127 | +121 |
| 2026-09-08 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 57¢ · -133 | $149 | — |
| 2026-09-08 | Will AEK win on 2026-09-08?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 56¢ · -127 | $200 | — |
| 2026-09-08 | Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TheMongolz (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group Aesports · moneyline | TheMongolz | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $201 | −201 |
| 2026-09-08 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athleticsbaseball · moneyline | Athletics | won | 54¢ · -117 | $206 | −6 |
| 2026-09-04 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 62¢ · -163 | $237 | — |
| 2026-09-04 | Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffsesports · moneyline | Eternal Fire | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $314 | −314 |
| 2026-09-04 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffsesports · moneyline | G2 | lost | 42¢ · +138 | $1,235 | −1,235 |
| 2026-09-04 | Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbaseball · moneyline | Baltimore Orioles | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $511 | −511 |
| 2026-09-03 | Will CF América win on 2026-09-02?esports · moneyline | Yes | lost | 44¢ · +127 | $441 | — |
| 2026-09-03 | Will Independiente Santa Fe win on 2026-09-02?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 69¢ · -226 | $320 | — |
| 2026-09-03 | US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navonetennis · moneyline | Mariano Navone | exited | 63¢ · -170 | $204 | +113 |
| 2026-09-03 | Will CD Ñublense win on 2026-08-01?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 31¢ · +221 | $235 | — |
| 2026-09-03 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardiansbaseball · moneyline | Toronto Blue Jays | won | 56¢ · -127 | $542 | +400 |
| 2026-09-02 | Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-09-02?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 68¢ · -212 | $500 | — |
| 2026-09-02 | Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-09-02?soccer · moneyline | No | exited | 40¢ · +150 | $247 | — |
| 2026-09-02 | Counter-Strike: HOTU vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffsesports · moneyline | paiN | lost | 45¢ · +124 | $490 | −490 |
| 2026-09-02 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffsesports · moneyline | T1 | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $849 | −849 |
| 2026-09-02 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winneresports · child moneyline | Hanwha Life Esports | won | 57¢ · -132 | $920 | +661 |
| 2026-09-02 | Counter-Strike: magic vs K27 (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffsesports · moneyline | K27 | lost | 40¢ · +148 | $779 | −757 |
| 2026-09-02 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winneresports · child moneyline | Hanwha Life Esports | won | 61¢ · -156 | $1,000 | +606 |
| 2026-09-02 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | T1 | won | 46¢ · +117 | $500 | +554 |
| 2026-09-02 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | T1 | exited | 40¢ · +150 | $515 | +734 |
| 2026-09-02 | Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs DEPO (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Asian Qualifier Playoffsesports · moneyline | The Huns Esports | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $504 | −504 |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passarotennis · moneyline | Jesper de Jong | exited | 59¢ · -141 | $490 | −123 |
| 2026-09-01 | Dana White's Contender Series: Adam Livingston vs. Hunter Smith (Lightweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Hunter Smith | lost | 38¢ · +163 | $310 | −310 |
| 2026-09-01 | Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Color (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsesports · moneyline | Color | lost | 43¢ · +133 | $331 | −331 |
| 2026-09-01 | Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsesports · moneyline | INOX Division | lost | 16¢ · +509 | $46 | −46 |
| 2026-09-01 | Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs Just Swing (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Asian Qualifier Playoffsesports · moneyline | Chinggis Warriors | exited | 63¢ · -170 | $544 | +303 |
| 2026-09-01 | Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-09-01?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 44¢ · +127 | $245 | — |
| 2026-09-01 | Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Color (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Playoffsesports · moneyline | HOTU | exited | 51¢ · -104 | $418 | +85 |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open ATP: Martin Damm vs Frances Tiafoetennis · moneyline | Martin Damm | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $307 | −281 |
| 2026-09-01 | Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Soxbaseball · moneyline | Seattle Mariners | lost | 39¢ · +156 | $309 | −309 |
| 2026-08-31 | New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Raysbaseball · moneyline | Tampa Bay Rays | lost | 65¢ · -186 | $298 | −298 |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Stan Wawrinkatennis · moneyline | Stan Wawrinka | lost | 24¢ · +317 | $144 | −144 |
| 2026-08-31 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-31?soccer · moneyline | No | exited | 10¢ · +880 | $48 | — |
| 2026-08-31 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 65¢ · -186 | $916 | — |
| 2026-08-31 | Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Vitality - Map 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Vitality | won | 43¢ · +133 | $506 | +637 |
| 2026-08-31 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group Besports · moneyline | MOUZ | won | 47¢ · +113 | $441 | +473 |
| 2026-08-31 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group Aesports · moneyline | G2 | won | 55¢ · -122 | $583 | +452 |
| 2026-08-31 | US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak Djokovictennis · moneyline | Mariano Navone | won | 54¢ · -117 | $511 | +413 |
| 2026-08-31 | Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-30?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $512 | — |
| 2026-08-31 | Valorant: LOUD vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffsesports · moneyline | MIBR | lost | 61¢ · -160 | $1,001 | −505 |
| 2026-08-30 | Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffsesports · moneyline | Leviatán Esports | lost | 65¢ · -187 | $658 | −658 |
| 2026-08-30 | LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonesports · moneyline | LYON | won | 55¢ · -122 | $655 | +509 |
| 2026-08-30 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group Besports · moneyline | Legacy | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $182 | −36 |
| 2026-08-30 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Vitality | lost | 65¢ · -186 | $300 | −300 |
| 2026-08-30 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group Besports · moneyline | Vitality | won | 73¢ · -270 | $656 | −170 |
| 2026-08-30 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 52¢ · -108 | $242 | — |
| 2026-08-30 | LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Shifters | lost | 24¢ · +311 | $162 | −144 |
| 2026-08-30 | LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsesports · moneyline | Team WE | won | 51¢ · -102 | $583 | +541 |
| 2026-08-30 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group Aesports · moneyline | G2 | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $410 | +389 |
| 2026-08-30 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | G2 | exited | 57¢ · -133 | $673 | +482 |
| 2026-08-30 | LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | KT Rolster | won | 36¢ · +178 | $90 | +152 |
| 2026-08-30 | LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Team WE | won | 47¢ · +113 | $205 | +220 |
| 2026-08-30 | LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Dplus KIA | lost | 64¢ · -178 | $166 | −166 |
| 2026-08-30 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $179 | — |
| 2026-08-30 | Dota 2: Ice Cream Men vs Execration (BO3) - BLAST Slam Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsesports · moneyline | Execration | won | 59¢ · -144 | $168 | +105 |
| 2026-08-30 | Portland Timbers vs. Austin FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $133 | +107 |