Public evidence record

Filko44

0xdbe8f1f08120ef7996df79ae1e6ef35887b61141

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-2.7%1,141 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-7.1%$219,526 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+3.54%2,619 pre-event fills

Settlement record

565-529-25Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−96.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 1,141 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -8.1% to +2.7%

1,141 closed positions · 2,665 taker fills · $219,526 deployed

Typical position $111 (median) · closing line value measured over 2,619 pre-event fills · 5% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

8 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$107

Will CA Estudiantes win on 2026-11-02?

No

entry 66¢ · -190now 78¢ · -344+12.0 pts

Open

value$53

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-03?

No

entry 24¢ · +317now 22¢ · +365−2.5 pts

Open

value$78

FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5

Over

entry 54¢ · -117now 63¢ · -167+8.5 pts

Open

value$90

Hurricanes vs. Predators

Predators

entry 33¢ · +203now 34¢ · +199+0.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer508 closed300–201–3+1.7%
Esports236 closed89–129–8-8.2%
Hockey134 closed57–77-8.4%
Basketball105 closed51–52-6.7%
Tennis70 closed34–25–9+1.7%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 76 sports · 24 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-04	Blackhawks vs. Lightning · Spread Lightning (-2.5)hockey · spreads	Blackhawks	lost	57¢ · -133	$81	−81
2026-11-04	Golden Knights vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5hockey · totals	Over	lost	45¢ · +122	$156	−156
2026-11-04	Golden Knights vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5hockey · totals	Over	lost	58¢ · -138	$430	−430
2026-11-04	Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 11.5 Total Corners