Public evidence record

mutedcalls

0xdc9ec0e38b7b5bd6d91953bcc2e3676fcf5e5a9e

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-10.8%963 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-2.5%$126,683 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.00%699 pre-event fills

Settlement record

403-535Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−59.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 963 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -16.9% to -4.6%

963 closed positions · 1,263 taker fills · $126,683 deployed

Typical position $100 (median) · closing line value measured over 699 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

7 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$326

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5

Under

entry 61¢ · -156now 100¢+38.5 pts

Open

value$117

Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5

Over

entry 53¢ · -113now 52¢ · -106−1.5 pts

Open

value$195

Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?

Yes

entry 16¢ · +509now 16¢ · +525−0.4 pts

Open

value$112

Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?

Yes

entry 8¢ · +1150now 9¢ · +1017+0.9 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball817 closed361–436-8.4%
Soccer136 closed39–94-15.2%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5baseball · totals	Under	won	52¢ · -108	$61	+54
2026-09-20	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5baseball · totals	Under	won	60¢ · -150	$194	+123
2026-09-20	Combo: New York Yankees — Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) + San Diego Padres — Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) + Los Angeles Angels — Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angelsbaseball · combo	—	lost	8¢ · +1216	$20	−20
2026-09-20	New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbaseball · moneyline	New York Yankees