Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
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Public evidence record
0xdd6b00c0428e7fc4178e77594eaf2de3bb16e0f3
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-4.1%417 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
+1.8%$23,604 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-0.98%332 pre-event fillsSettlement record
211-181Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−16.4uDeepest peak-to-trough over 417 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -11.5% to +3.2%
417 closed positions · 546 taker fills · $23,604 deployed
Typical position $32 (median) · closing line value measured over 332 pre-event fills · 18% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.
Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 52 sports · 48 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 21?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 83¢ · -473 | $79 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astrosbaseball · moneyline | Houston Astros | lost | 59¢ · -144 | $64 | −64 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Milwaukee Brewers | lost | 38¢ · +163 | $33 | −33 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19? |
| Yes |
| won |
| 46¢ · +120 |
| $21 |
| — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 19?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 58¢ · -139 | $86 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbaseball · moneyline | New York Yankees | won | 51¢ · -104 | $33 | +30 |
| 2026-09-18 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 18?Non-sports | Yes | won | 64¢ · -178 | $71 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 17?Non-sports | Yes | won | 62¢ · -163 | $31 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 17?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 51¢ · -102 | $51 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbaseball · moneyline | Detroit Tigers | lost | 45¢ · +122 | $33 | −33 |
| 2026-09-16 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 16?Non-sports | Yes | won | 61¢ · -159 | $82 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Chicago Cubs (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Atlanta Braves | won | 62¢ · -163 | $33 | +19 |
| 2026-09-14 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Cincinnati Reds | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $96 | −96 |
| 2026-09-12 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins · Spread Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Los Angeles Dodgers | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $32 | −32 |
| 2026-09-12 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 12?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 31¢ · +224 | $19 | — |
| 2026-09-11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 49¢ · +103 | $2,970 | — |
| 2026-09-11 | Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox · Spread Boston Red Sox (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Boston Red Sox | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $16 | −16 |
| 2026-09-11 | Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Soxbaseball · moneyline | Boston Red Sox | lost | 65¢ · -186 | $16 | −16 |
| 2026-09-11 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on September 11?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 52¢ · -110 | $72 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Philadelphia Phillies | lost | 45¢ · +122 | $32 | −32 |
| 2026-09-10 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 10?Non-sports | Yes | won | 49¢ · +103 | $9 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbaseball · moneyline | Los Angeles Dodgers | won | 78¢ · -355 | $35 | +9 |
| 2026-09-09 | Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Philliesbaseball · moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies | won | 59¢ · -144 | $32 | +21 |
| 2026-09-08 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 8?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 46¢ · +118 | $52 | — |
| 2026-09-08 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 8?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 53¢ · -111 | $71 | — |
| 2026-09-07 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 7?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 25¢ · +293 | $22 | — |
| 2026-09-06 | LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winneresports · child moneyline | Dplus KIA | exited | 72¢ · -261 | $11 | −10 |
| 2026-09-06 | LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winneresports · child moneyline | Dplus KIA | lost | 20¢ · +400 | $1 | −1 |
| 2026-09-06 | LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | T1 | won | 76¢ · -317 | $77 | +23 |
| 2026-09-06 | LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Dplus KIA | exited | 57¢ · -133 | $6 | −4 |
| 2026-09-06 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winneresports · child moneyline | Team WE | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $11 | −11 |
| 2026-09-06 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | Team WE | exited | 48¢ · +108 | $10 | +5 |
| 2026-09-06 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on September 6?Non-sports | Yes | won | 72¢ · -256 | $22 | — |
| 2026-09-06 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on September 6?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 29¢ · +245 | $20 | — |
| 2026-09-06 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on September 6?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 38¢ · +162 | $32 | — |
| 2026-09-05 | LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winneresports · child moneyline | Hanwha Life Esports | lost | 51¢ · -103 | $8 | −8 |
| 2026-09-05 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 5?Non-sports | Yes | won | 53¢ · -114 | $55 | — |
| 2026-09-04 | LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | KT Rolster | won | 57¢ · -133 | $11 | +9 |
| 2026-09-04 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on September 4?Non-sports | Yes | won | 57¢ · -135 | $72 | — |
| 2026-09-03 | LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winneresports · child moneyline | BNK FEARX | lost | 44¢ · +127 | $9 | −9 |
| 2026-09-03 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 3?Non-sports | Yes | won | 52¢ · -107 | $13 | — |
| 2026-09-03 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 3?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $51 | — |
| 2026-09-02 | Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Los Angeles Dodgers | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $32 | −32 |
| 2026-09-02 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockiesbaseball · moneyline | Baltimore Orioles | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $32 | −32 |
| 2026-09-02 | Combo: T1 — LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner + T1 — LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner + Hanwha Life Esports — LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner + Over — Games Total: O/U 4.5esports · combo | — | lost | 8¢ · +1221 | $3 | −3 |
| 2026-09-02 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffsesports · moneyline | Hanwha Life Esports | won | 60¢ · -148 | $24 | +16 |
| 2026-09-01 | San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati Redsbaseball · moneyline | San Diego Padres | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $64 | −64 |
| 2026-09-01 | Combo: Over — Games Total: O/U 4.5 + Gen.G — LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffsesports · combo | — | lost | 22¢ · +356 | $2 | −2 |
| 2026-09-01 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 1?Non-sports | Yes | won | 53¢ · -113 | $53 | — |
| 2026-08-31 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Boston Red Sox (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Seattle Mariners | won | 59¢ · -144 | $48 | +32 |
| 2026-08-31 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 31?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 40¢ · +148 | $8 | — |
| 2026-08-31 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 31?Non-sports | Yes | won | 57¢ · -131 | $38 | — |
| 2026-08-30 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Boston Red Sox (-1.5)baseball · spreads | New York Yankees | won | 60¢ · -150 | $64 | +40 |
| 2026-08-30 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 30?Non-sports | Yes | won | 63¢ · -168 | $20 | — |
| 2026-08-29 | San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Raysbaseball · moneyline | San Diego Padres | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $32 | −32 |
| 2026-08-29 | Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)baseball · spreads | San Diego Padres | won | 64¢ · -178 | $32 | +17 |
| 2026-08-29 | LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffsesports · moneyline | BNK FEARX | lost | 33¢ · +203 | $3 | −3 |
| 2026-08-29 | LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winneresports · child moneyline | BNK FEARX | lost | 23¢ · +339 | $6 | −6 |
| 2026-08-29 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 29?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 9¢ · +968 | $4 | — |
| 2026-08-29 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 29?Non-sports | Yes | won | 45¢ · +122 | $19 | — |
| 2026-08-29 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 29?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $5 | — |
| 2026-08-28 | Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbaseball · moneyline | Kansas City Royals | won | 45¢ · +122 | $16 | +19 |
| 2026-08-28 | Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians · Spread Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Kansas City Royals | won | 64¢ · -178 | $16 | +9 |
| 2026-08-28 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?Non-sports | Yes | won | 32¢ · +214 | $13 | — |
| 2026-08-28 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 28?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 44¢ · +126 | $17 | — |
| 2026-08-28 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 28?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 31¢ · +223 | $2 | — |
| 2026-08-27 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 27?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 25¢ · +295 | $15 | — |
| 2026-08-27 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 27?Non-sports | Yes | won | 45¢ · +121 | $18 | — |
| 2026-08-26 | Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbaseball · moneyline | Arizona Diamondbacks | won | 50¢ · -100 | $32 | +30 |
| 2026-08-26 | LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Play-Inesports · moneyline | KT Rolster | won | 46¢ · +117 | $10 | +3 |
| 2026-08-26 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 26?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 44¢ · +129 | $28 | — |
| 2026-08-26 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 26?Non-sports | Yes | won | 36¢ · +180 | $14 | — |
| 2026-08-25 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Kansas City Royals | won | 64¢ · -178 | $32 | +17 |
| 2026-08-25 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5baseball · totals | Over | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $16 | −16 |
| 2026-08-25 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 25?Non-sports | Yes | won | 63¢ · -167 | $32 | — |
| 2026-08-25 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 25?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 45¢ · +124 | $11 | — |
| 2026-08-24 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 24?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 60¢ · -150 | $3 | — |
| 2026-08-23 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | T1 | lost | 40¢ · +150 | $2 | −2 |
| 2026-08-23 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Hanwha Life Esports | won | 54¢ · -117 | $6 | +4 |
| 2026-08-23 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 23?Non-sports | Yes | won | 65¢ · -183 | $20 | — |
| 2026-08-23 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 23?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 36¢ · +178 | $11 | — |
| 2026-08-22 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 22?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 12¢ · +733 | $1 | — |
| 2026-08-22 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 22?Non-sports | Yes | won | 58¢ · -138 | $12 | — |
| 2026-08-21 | LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupesports · moneyline | T1 | won | 71¢ · -241 | $11 | +4 |
| 2026-08-21 | LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupesports · moneyline | HANJIN BRION | lost | 69¢ · -223 | $7 | −7 |
| 2026-08-21 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 21?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $20 | — |
| 2026-08-20 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbaseball · moneyline | Cincinnati Reds | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $32 | −32 |
| 2026-08-20 | Combo: HANJIN BRION Challengers — LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group + Dplus KIA — LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupesports · combo | — | lost | 16¢ · +530 | $3 | −3 |
| 2026-08-20 | Combo: Washington Mystics — Spread: Washington Mystics (-10.5) + Golden State Valkyries — Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)basketball · combo | — | lost | 27¢ · +276 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-08-20 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?Non-sports | Yes | won | 85¢ · -567 | $5 | — |
| 2026-08-20 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 20?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 26¢ · +285 | $1 | — |
| 2026-08-19 | LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline | EDward Gaming | won | 52¢ · -108 | $5 | +5 |
| 2026-08-19 | Combo: KT Rolster — LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner + KT Rolster — LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group + Over — Games Total: O/U 2.5esports · combo | — | lost | 5¢ · +1858 | $2 | −2 |
| 2026-08-19 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 19?Non-sports | Yes | won | 65¢ · -186 | $11 | — |
| 2026-08-18 | Combo: Tampa Bay Rays — Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays + Pittsburgh Pirates — Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbaseball · combo | — | lost | 29¢ · +245 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-08-18 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 18?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 14¢ · +614 | $6 | — |
| 2026-08-18 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?Non-sports | No | exited | 55¢ · -122 | $10 | — |
| 2026-08-17 | Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyriesbasketball · moneyline | Golden State Valkyries | won | 71¢ · -245 | $10 | +4 |
| 2026-08-16 | New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbaseball · moneyline | Toronto Blue Jays | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-08-16 | Combo: T1 — LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner + T1 — LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupesports · combo | — | lost | 21¢ · +373 | $25 | −25 |