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Public evidence record
0xded66365b0c903c20d24d7ac4ec67124e0b9f649
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-10.9%215 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-7.3%$16,163 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-1.92%35 pre-event fillsSettlement record
78-106-2Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−28.8uDeepest peak-to-trough over 215 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -20.4% to -1.4%
215 closed positions · 541 taker fills · $16,163 deployed
Typical position $46 (median) · closing line value measured over 35 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 98 sports · 2 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbasketball · moneyline | Rockets | lost | 69¢ · -219 | $201 | −201 |
| 2026-11-03 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Non-sports | Yes | won | 76¢ · -317 | $154 | — |
| 2026-11-03 | Celtics vs. Rocketsbasketball · moneyline | Rockets | won | 64¢ · -180 | $101 | +53 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) |
| Movsar Evloev |
| lost |
| 53¢ · -115 |
| $482 |
| −393 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Merab Dvalishvili | lost | 34¢ · +197 | $151 | −151 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Petr Yan | won | 59¢ · -144 | $120 | −58 |
| 2026-10-24 | Will Ramazan Temirov win by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 35¢ · +186 | $17 | −2 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Ramazan Temirov | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $170 | −170 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Alexander Volkov | won | 56¢ · -128 | $109 | +79 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Aaron Pico | won | 58¢ · -138 | $46 | +32 |
| 2026-10-24 | Combo: Azamat Murzakanov — UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) + Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev — UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) + Abus Magomedov — UFC 333: Abus Magomedov vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims) + Nurullo Aliev — UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims) + Ramazan Temirov — UFC 333: Ramazan Temirov vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)mma · combo | — | lost | 7¢ · +1270 | $15 | −15 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Dominick Reyes | won | 36¢ · +178 | $13 | +23 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Nikita Krylov vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Nikita Krylov | lost | 21¢ · +375 | $16 | −16 |
| 2026-10-24 | Will the fight be won by submission?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 31¢ · +222 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-24 | Will the fight end before Round 2?mma · ufc round of finish | No | lost | 39¢ · +156 | $15 | −15 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Abus Magomedov vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Abus Magomedov | won | 53¢ · -113 | $41 | +34 |
| 2026-10-24 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | Yes | won | 59¢ · -144 | $20 | +13 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Nurullo Aliev | lost | 28¢ · +260 | $74 | −74 |
| 2026-10-24 | Will Grant Dawson win by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 11¢ · +809 | $2 | −2 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Colby Thicknesse vs. Asaf Chopurov (Bantamweight, Early Prelims)mma · moneyline | Colby Thicknesse | won | 19¢ · +420 | $31 | +123 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333 · O/U 2.5 Roundsmma · totals | Under | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $36 | −36 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)mma · moneyline | Abubakar Vagaev | won | 60¢ · -150 | $41 | +26 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki (Featherweight, Early Prelims)mma · moneyline | Bolaji Oki | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki (Featherweight, Early Prelims)mma · moneyline | Daniel Santos | won | 52¢ · -108 | $26 | −5 |
| 2026-10-24 | Will Noah Gugnon win by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 20¢ · +400 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Noah Gugnon vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Early Prelims)mma · moneyline | Noah Gugnon | lost | 42¢ · +138 | $15 | −15 |
| 2026-10-24 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | Yes | exited | 67¢ · -203 | $20 | +9 |
| 2026-10-24 | UFC 333: Nicolle Caliari vs. Iasmin Lucindo (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)mma · moneyline | Nicolle Caliari | lost | 15¢ · +570 | $14 | −14 |
| 2026-10-18 | O/U 1.5 Roundsmma · totals | Over | lost | 36¢ · +178 | $30 | −30 |
| 2026-10-17 | UFC Fight Night: Javad Mahjoub vs. Joel Faglier (Heavyweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Javad Mahjoub | lost | 45¢ · +122 | $80 | −80 |
| 2026-10-17 | UFC Fight Night: Katlyn Cerminara vs. Mackenzie Stiller (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Mackenzie Stiller | lost | 32¢ · +212 | $39 | −39 |
| 2026-10-17 | UFC Fight Night: Chad Anheliger vs. Steven Koslow (Bantamweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Chad Anheliger | lost | 39¢ · +156 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-17 | Will Chad Anheliger win by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 15¢ · +567 | $18 | −18 |
| 2026-10-17 | UFC Fight Night: Chelsea Chandler vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Chelsea Chandler | exited | 24¢ · +317 | $16 | +47 |
| 2026-10-11 | UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert vs. Matheus Camilo (Lightweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Matheus Camilo | lost | 64¢ · -178 | $149 | −149 |
| 2026-10-11 | UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Souza vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Loopy Godínez | won | 23¢ · +335 | $5 | +1 |
| 2026-10-11 | UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Souza vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Ketlen Souza | lost | 32¢ · +212 | $16 | −16 |
| 2026-10-11 | Will Ketlen Souza win by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 10¢ · +900 | $16 | −16 |
| 2026-10-11 | UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III (Featherweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Andre Fili | won | 55¢ · -122 | $46 | +36 |
| 2026-10-10 | UFC Fight Night: Gerald Meerschaert vs. Julius Walker (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Gerald Meerschaert | lost | 16¢ · +517 | $16 | −16 |
| 2026-10-10 | Will Gerald Meerschaert win by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 8¢ · +1189 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-10 | UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Francisco Prado | won | 58¢ · -138 | $31 | +21 |
| 2026-10-10 | Will the fight be won by submission?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 48¢ · +110 | $25 | −25 |
| 2026-10-10 | UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs. Felipe Franco (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Brendson Ribeiro | won | 22¢ · +355 | $40 | +134 |
| 2026-10-10 | UFC Fight Night: Allen Frye Jr. vs. RJ Harris (Heavyweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | RJ Harris | lost | 77¢ · -335 | $85 | −85 |
| 2026-10-10 | UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Alice Pereira | won | 58¢ · -138 | $51 | +34 |
| 2026-10-10 | UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Ernesta Kareckaite | push | 57¢ · -134 | $70 | −20 |
| 2026-10-10 | UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Melissa Gatto | push | 61¢ · -154 | $61 | −40 |
| 2026-10-04 | UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Natalia Silva | won | 82¢ · -454 | $210 | +44 |
| 2026-10-04 | UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Wang Cong | lost | 36¢ · +178 | $124 | −89 |
| 2026-10-04 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | Yes | lost | 40¢ · +153 | $69 | −69 |
| 2026-10-04 | UFC 332: King Green vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | King Green | lost | 36¢ · +175 | $36 | −36 |
| 2026-10-04 | UFC 332: Roberto Soldic vs. Khaos Williams (Welterweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Roberto Soldic | won | 61¢ · -157 | $56 | +34 |
| 2026-10-04 | O/U 1.5 Roundsmma · totals | Under | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $51 | −16 |
| 2026-10-04 | UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Roman Kopylov | won | 28¢ · +256 | $80 | +135 |
| 2026-10-04 | O/U 1.5 Roundsmma · totals | Over | lost | 63¢ · -170 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-10-03 | UFC 332: Alden Coria vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Imanol Rodriguez | won | 57¢ · -133 | $61 | +44 |
| 2026-10-03 | UFC 332: Andrey Pulyaev vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Andrey Pulyaev | lost | 17¢ · +488 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-03 | UFC 332 · O/U 1.5 Roundsmma · totals | Under | won | 33¢ · +203 | $81 | +155 |
| 2026-10-03 | UFC 332 · O/U 1.5 Roundsmma · totals | Under | won | 62¢ · -163 | $61 | +35 |
| 2026-10-03 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | Yes | lost | 39¢ · +156 | $46 | −46 |
| 2026-10-03 | UFC 332: Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin (Heavyweight, Early Prelims)mma · moneyline | Mick Parkin | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-10-03 | UFC 332: Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Alexander Hernandez (Lightweight, Early Prelims)mma · moneyline | Alexander Hernandez | exited | 71¢ · -245 | $70 | +27 |
| 2026-10-03 | UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)mma · moneyline | Marvin Vettori | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $48 | −48 |
| 2026-10-03 | UFC 332: Court McGee vs. Eric Nolan (Welterweight, Early Prelims)mma · moneyline | Eric Nolan | won | 68¢ · -212 | $51 | +23 |
| 2026-10-03 | UFC 332: Court McGee vs. Eric Nolan (Welterweight, Early Prelims)mma · moneyline | Court McGee | lost | 19¢ · +426 | $6 | −6 |
| 2026-09-27 | UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Ailin Perez | exited | 60¢ · -150 | $148 | +93 |
| 2026-09-26 | UFC Fight Night · O/U 1.5 Roundsmma · totals | Under | lost | 36¢ · +178 | $21 | −2 |
| 2026-09-26 | UFC Fight Night · O/U 0.5 Roundsmma · totals | Under | lost | 18¢ · +456 | $19 | −19 |
| 2026-09-26 | Will the fight be won by submission?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 39¢ · +155 | $38 | −38 |
| 2026-09-26 | UFC Fight Night · O/U 1.5 Roundsmma · totals | Over | won | 57¢ · -133 | $41 | +29 |
| 2026-09-26 | UFC Fight Night: Christian Edwards vs. Rodolfo Bellato (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Christian Edwards | exited | 35¢ · +186 | $36 | −18 |
| 2026-09-26 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | No | won | 54¢ · -117 | $17 | +14 |
| 2026-09-26 | UFC Fight Night · O/U 2.5 Roundsmma · totals | Under | exited | 49¢ · +104 | $26 | +25 |
| 2026-09-26 | UFC Fight Night: Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell (Lightweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Josiah Harrell | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $26 | −26 |
| 2026-09-26 | UFC Fight Night: Ricky Simon vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Montel Jackson | won | 81¢ · -426 | $81 | +18 |
| 2026-09-26 | UFC Fight Night: Ricky Simon vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Ricky Simon | lost | 33¢ · +199 | $21 | −21 |
| 2026-09-26 | UFC Fight Night: Alatengheili vs. John Castaneda (Bantamweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Alatengheili | won | 22¢ · +351 | $26 | +85 |
| 2026-09-20 | UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Charles Jourdain | lost | 64¢ · -178 | $61 | −61 |
| 2026-09-20 | UFC 331: Tai Tuivasa vs. Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Robelis Despaigne | won | 79¢ · -376 | $49 | +12 |
| 2026-09-19 | UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | JooSang Yoo | lost | 62¢ · -163 | $59 | −59 |
| 2026-09-19 | UFC 331: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ryan Gandra (Middleweight, Early Prelims)mma · moneyline | Ryan Gandra | won | 82¢ · -456 | $66 | +14 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Brunno Ferreira win by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 24¢ · +317 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-09-19 | UFC 331: Edmen Shahbazyan vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)mma · moneyline | Brunno Ferreira | lost | 38¢ · +163 | $27 | −27 |
| 2026-09-19 | UFC 331: Casey O'Neill vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)mma · moneyline | Casey O'Neill | won | 66¢ · -194 | $41 | +20 |
| 2026-09-19 | UFC 331: Giga Chikadze vs. Joanderson Brito (Featherweight, Early Prelims)mma · moneyline | Joanderson Brito | won | 78¢ · -355 | $53 | +14 |
| 2026-08-15 | UFC 330: Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Early Prelims)mma · moneyline | Eric McConico | lost | 25¢ · +300 | $17 | −17 |
| 2026-08-15 | UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)mma · moneyline | Vicente Luque | lost | 50¢ · +100 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-08-15 | Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $102 | — |
| 2026-07-25 | UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Ismael Bonfim | lost | 31¢ · +227 | $62 | −62 |
| 2026-07-25 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | Yes | won | 14¢ · +614 | $4 | +24 |
| 2026-07-25 | UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs. Magomed Tuchalov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Brendson Ribeiro | lost | 30¢ · +231 | $62 | −62 |
| 2026-07-25 | UFC Fight Night: Mike Davis vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Nurullo Aliev | won | 69¢ · -223 | $51 | +22 |
| 2026-07-25 | O/U 2.5 Roundsmma · totals | Over | won | 66¢ · -194 | $41 | +20 |
| 2026-07-16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETNon-sports | Up | lost | 55¢ · -124 | $24 | −24 |
| 2026-07-15 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | England | lost | 78¢ · -349 | $588 | −565 |
| 2026-07-15 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Argentina | won | 46¢ · +115 | $411 | −212 |
| 2026-07-14 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Spain | won | 63¢ · -169 | $453 | +254 |
| 2026-07-11 | UFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims)mma · moneyline | Cesar Almeida | lost | 37¢ · +168 | $93 | −93 |
| 2026-07-11 | UFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims)mma · moneyline | Damian Pinas | won | 71¢ · -245 | $57 | −12 |