Public evidence record

0xdeff…78f8

0xdeff55f3132a313985035c34539e94da7b9178f8

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-6.5%782 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.5%$375,414 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-2.01%620 pre-event fills

Settlement record

259-392-6Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−32.0uDeepest peak-to-trough over 782 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -12.8% to -0.2%

782 closed positions · 1,512 taker fills · $375,414 deployed

Typical position $455 (median) · closing line value measured over 620 pre-event fills · 13% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

We couldn’t reach the source just now, so this is unavailable rather than empty. The settled record below is unaffected.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis649 closed211–324–4-4.8%
Football73 closed32–34–1-5.7%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-04	Ohio vs. Akronfootball · moneyline	Akron	lost	19¢ · +426	$122	−122
2026-11-03	Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Arthur Geatennis · moneyline	Arthur Gea	lost	56¢ · -127	$1,958	−1,958
2026-11-03	Set Handicap: Tommy Paul (-1.5) vs Holger Rune (+1.5)tennis · tennis set handicap	Holger Rune	lost	59¢ · -142	$1,133	−1,133
2026-11-03	Rolex Paris Masters: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Learner Tientennis · moneyline	Learner Tien	push