Public evidence record

fidelis25

0xdf6e1ea3865354b9f0743d7d666f40fd261cc865

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedOct 5, 2026

Source sync: Oct 3, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-0.5%127 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.6%$9,634 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+9.87%387 pre-event fills

Settlement record

62-42-4Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−8.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 127 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -10.9% to +9.9%

127 closed positions · 403 taker fills · $9,634 deployed

Typical position $67 (median) · closing line value measured over 387 pre-event fills · 7% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$25

Northampton Town FC vs. Oldham Athletic AFC: O/U 3.5

Under

entry 47¢ · +113now 36¢ · +182−11.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer87 closed51–31-1.1%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-29	Uzbekistan vs. Syria: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score	No	lost	55¢ · -122	$56	−56
2026-09-29	O/U 1.5 Roundsmma · totals	Under	won	57¢ · -133	$46	+33
2026-09-27	Jodar vs. Fritz: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5tennis · tennis first set totals	Under	push	51¢ · -104	$102	−4
2026-09-24	Netherlands vs. Germany: O/U 10.5 Total Cornerssoccer · total corners	Under	lost	57¢ · -133