Public evidence record

XX...XX

0xdfc2a1e41237aefef26a1896aadf74a1262e9343

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

+0.6%72 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+2.3%$12,643 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+2.68%277 pre-event fills

Settlement record

41-31Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−5.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 72 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -12.4% to +13.5%

72 closed positions · 301 taker fills · $12,643 deployed

Typical position $179 (median) · closing line value measured over 277 pre-event fills · 20% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

2 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$67

Spread: DPR Korea (-2.5)

DPR Korea

entry 52¢ · -107now 50¢ · -100−1.7 pts

Open

value$56

Will FC CFR 1907 Cluj win on 2026-08-10?

Yes

entry 47¢ · +113now 37¢ · +170−10.0 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer57 closed36–21+2.8%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 96 sports · 4 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Will DPR Korea win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline	Yes	won	57¢ · -133	$3	—
2026-09-20	Will Nigeria win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline	Yes	lost	44¢ · +127	$308	—
2026-09-16	Will France win on 2026-09-17?soccer · moneyline	No	won	53¢ · -112	$14	—
2026-09-15	W15 Sao Luis: Mariana Soares vs Sophia Santostennis · moneyline