Public evidence record

christrill

0xe0e352a8ea986d5ca5614b0dc844dae3fa80c760

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 24, 2026

Source sync: Sep 23, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-15.7%530 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-11.0%$74,141 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-2.07%776 pre-event fills

Settlement record

190-317-21Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−77.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 530 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -23.5% to -7.9%

530 closed positions · 926 taker fills · $74,141 deployed

Typical position $101 (median) · closing line value measured over 776 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

3 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$157

Panathinaikos vs. Paris Basketball

Panathinaikos

entry 80¢ · -393now 80¢ · -388−0.2 pts

Open

value$140

Will AD Cali win on 2026-08-06?

No

entry 37¢ · +170now 47¢ · +113+10.0 pts

Open

value$91

Asian Games Men: Afghanistan vs Nepal

Nepal

entry 35¢ · +185now 36¢ · +182+0.4 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports313 closed89–208–15-21.6%
Basketball100 closed43–57-9.6%
Soccer84 closed46–38+0.3%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 96 sports · 4 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-22	Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Feverbasketball · moneyline	Minnesota Lynx	lost	51¢ · -104	$194	−194
2026-09-22	LoL: The Otter Side vs Team Aqua ASD - Game 2 Winneresports · child moneyline	Team Aqua ASD	lost	37¢ · +170	$72	−72
2026-09-22	LoL: The Otter Side vs Team Aqua ASD - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline	The Otter Side	won	45¢ · +122	$72	+84
2026-09-22	France vs. Romania