value$15
Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-16?
Yes
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Public evidence record
0xe13c9943feb46e868d03e38abf2258ad35fb1159
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-3.5%236 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-2.7%$10,607 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-0.62%548 pre-event fillsSettlement record
148-83-5Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−18.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 236 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -11.1% to +4.1%
236 closed positions · 605 taker fills · $10,607 deployed
Typical position $31 (median) · closing line value measured over 548 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.
Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-16?
Will Portugal win on 2026-09-24?
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Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 95 sports · 5 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: Manchester United FC O/U 1.5soccer · soccer team totals | Over | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $26 | −26 |
| 2026-09-20 | Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | No | lost | 36¢ · +178 | $26 | −26 |
| 2026-09-20 | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 66¢ · -194 | $26 | +12 |
| 2026-09-20 |
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Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
| Under |
| won |
| 61¢ · -156 |
| $26 |
| +15 |
| 2026-09-20 | FC Porto vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | won | 58¢ · -138 | $26 | +17 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 75¢ · -300 | $51 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 82¢ · -456 | $51 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 64¢ · -178 | $41 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 13¢ · +669 | $15 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $26 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $41 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Set 2 Winner: Zverev vs Sheltontennis · tennis set winner | Zverev | won | 56¢ · -129 | $29 | +21 |
| 2026-09-13 | Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs Sheltontennis · tennis first set winner | Shelton | lost | 45¢ · +122 | $46 | −46 |
| 2026-09-13 | Alexander Zverev vs. Ben Shelton: Total Sets O/U 4.5tennis · tennis set totals | Over 4.5 | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $52 | −52 |
| 2026-09-13 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 86¢ · -614 | $25 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-13?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 65¢ · -182 | $59 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-13?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 86¢ · -605 | $61 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 43¢ · +134 | $121 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 69¢ · -223 | $26 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $26 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 43¢ · +133 | $26 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $26 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 64¢ · -178 | $26 | — |
| 2026-09-11 | Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 25¢ · +300 | $16 | — |
| 2026-09-11 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 80¢ · -400 | $51 | — |
| 2026-09-11 | Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 79¢ · -376 | $61 | — |
| 2026-09-11 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 37¢ · +170 | $150 | — |
| 2026-09-11 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinatennis · moneyline | Elena Rybakina | won | 45¢ · +122 | $52 | +59 |
| 2026-09-10 | Alexander Zverev vs. Karen Khachanov: Total Sets O/U 4.5tennis · tennis set totals | Under 4.5 | won | 78¢ · -355 | $25 | +7 |
| 2026-09-10 | Alexander Zverev vs. Karen Khachanov: Total Sets O/U 3.5tennis · tennis set totals | Under 3.5 | won | 41¢ · +142 | $26 | +35 |
| 2026-09-10 | Frances Tiafoe vs. Ben Shelton: Total Sets O/U 3.5tennis · tennis set totals | Under 3.5 | lost | 39¢ · +155 | $26 | −26 |
| 2026-09-10 | Frances Tiafoe vs. Ben Shelton: Total Sets O/U 4.5tennis · tennis set totals | Under 4.5 | won | 76¢ · -317 | $25 | +7 |
| 2026-09-10 | Will Ben Shelton advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open?Non-sports | Yes | won | 74¢ · -285 | $51 | +17 |
| 2026-09-10 | Will Elena Rybakina advance to the Final in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?Non-sports | Yes | won | 50¢ · +102 | $52 | +49 |
| 2026-09-09 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulatennis · moneyline | Aryna Sabalenka | won | 64¢ · -178 | $51 | +27 |
| 2026-09-09 | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulptennis · moneyline | Alexander Zverev | won | 88¢ · -733 | $51 | +6 |
| 2026-09-09 | US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Sheltontennis · moneyline | Ben Shelton | won | 74¢ · -285 | $102 | +33 |
| 2026-09-09 | Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?Non-sports | No | won | 90¢ · -910 | $101 | — |
| 2026-09-09 | US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Coco Gaufftennis · moneyline | Mirra Andreeva | lost | 35¢ · +182 | $62 | −62 |
| 2026-09-08 | Will PSV win on 2026-09-10?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 69¢ · -223 | $41 | — |
| 2026-09-08 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-10?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 88¢ · -733 | $25 | — |
| 2026-09-08 | Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 55¢ · -122 | $29 | — |
| 2026-09-08 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 58¢ · -138 | $15 | — |
| 2026-09-08 | US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockxtennis · moneyline | Karen Khachanov | won | 61¢ · -156 | $33 | +20 |
| 2026-09-08 | US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakinatennis · moneyline | Elena Rybakina | won | 73¢ · -270 | $51 | +18 |
| 2026-09-07 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 44¢ · +127 | $26 | — |
| 2026-09-07 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 60¢ · -150 | $41 | — |
| 2026-09-07 | US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Elena Rybakinatennis · moneyline | Elena Rybakina | won | 57¢ · -133 | $26 | +18 |
| 2026-09-07 | US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Coco Gaufftennis · moneyline | Coco Gauff | won | 72¢ · -260 | $25 | +9 |
| 2026-09-07 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskovatennis · moneyline | Linda Noskova | lost | 32¢ · +212 | $21 | −21 |
| 2026-09-07 | US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsentennis · moneyline | Frances Tiafoe | won | 57¢ · -133 | $26 | +18 |
| 2026-09-07 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraztennis · moneyline | Ben Shelton | won | 23¢ · +335 | $26 | +83 |
| 2026-09-07 | US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tientennis · moneyline | Learner Tien | lost | 64¢ · -178 | $26 | −26 |
| 2026-09-07 | US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulptennis · moneyline | Botic van de Zandschulp | won | 62¢ · -163 | $26 | +15 |
| 2026-09-07 | US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockxtennis · moneyline | Francisco Cerundolo | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $26 | −26 |
| 2026-09-05 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 59¢ · -144 | $77 | — |
| 2026-09-05 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoetennis · moneyline | Frances Tiafoe | won | 42¢ · +138 | $26 | +34 |
| 2026-09-05 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Stefanos Tsitsipastennis · moneyline | Ben Shelton | won | 71¢ · -245 | $51 | +19 |
| 2026-09-05 | US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraztennis · moneyline | Tommy Paul | lost | 17¢ · +488 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-09-05 | US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tientennis · moneyline | Learner Tien | won | 56¢ · -129 | $77 | +56 |
| 2026-09-05 | US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertenstennis · moneyline | Naomi Osaka | won | 73¢ · -270 | $51 | +18 |
| 2026-09-05 | US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Benjamin Bonzitennis · moneyline | Karen Khachanov | won | 65¢ · -189 | $79 | +39 |
| 2026-09-05 | US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zhengtennis · moneyline | Madison Keys | lost | 62¢ · -163 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-09-05 | US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobollitennis · moneyline | Flavio Cobolli | lost | 51¢ · -103 | $79 | −79 |
| 2026-09-04 | US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Nikola Bartunkovatennis · moneyline | Mirra Andreeva | won | 80¢ · -400 | $25 | +6 |
| 2026-09-04 | US Open WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Amanda Anisimovatennis · moneyline | Amanda Anisimova | lost | 83¢ · -488 | $25 | −25 |
| 2026-09-04 | US Open ATP: Valentin Vacherot vs Frances Tiafoetennis · moneyline | Frances Tiafoe | won | 65¢ · -184 | $61 | +31 |
| 2026-09-04 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalovtennis · moneyline | Ben Shelton | won | 80¢ · -391 | $67 | +16 |
| 2026-09-04 | US Open WTA: Ann Li vs Linda Noskovatennis · moneyline | Linda Noskova | won | 75¢ · -300 | $25 | +8 |
| 2026-09-04 | US Open WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Diana Shnaidertennis · moneyline | Diana Shnaider | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $26 | −26 |
| 2026-09-04 | US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Karolina Muchovatennis · moneyline | Karolina Muchova | lost | 80¢ · -400 | $25 | −25 |
| 2026-09-03 | US Open WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Sorana Cirsteatennis · moneyline | Jasmine Paolini | lost | 43¢ · +133 | $26 | −26 |
| 2026-09-03 | US Open WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Ekaterina Alexandrovatennis · moneyline | Marta Kostyuk | won | 69¢ · -218 | $31 | +13 |
| 2026-09-03 | US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Kalinskayatennis · moneyline | Elina Svitolina | lost | 71¢ · -248 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-09-03 | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paultennis · moneyline | Alexander Bublik | lost | 37¢ · +170 | $26 | −26 |
| 2026-09-03 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknechtennis · moneyline | Daniil Medvedev | won | 71¢ · -245 | $25 | +10 |
| 2026-09-03 | US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tientennis · moneyline | Learner Tien | won | 83¢ · -488 | $25 | +5 |
| 2026-09-03 | US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Jesper de Jongtennis · moneyline | Zizou Bergs | won | 70¢ · -233 | $25 | +10 |
| 2026-09-03 | US Open ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Karen Khachanovtennis · moneyline | Felix Auger-Aliassime | lost | 72¢ · -257 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-09-03 | US Open ATP: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Alex de Minaurtennis · moneyline | Alex de Minaur | lost | 79¢ · -376 | $25 | −25 |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublevtennis · moneyline | Andrey Rublev | lost | 59¢ · -144 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-09-02 | US Open ATP: Jaime Faria vs Carlos Alcaraztennis · moneyline | Carlos Alcaraz | won | 92¢ · -1150 | $101 | +8 |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Adrian Mannarinotennis · moneyline | Alexander Bublik | won | 77¢ · -335 | $25 | +7 |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open ATP: Rei Sakamoto vs Frances Tiafoetennis · moneyline | Frances Tiafoe | won | 75¢ · -307 | $51 | +15 |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open WTA: Mary Stoiana vs Alexandra Ealatennis · moneyline | Alexandra Eala | won | 80¢ · -400 | $15 | +4 |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Paula Badosatennis · moneyline | Paula Badosa | won | 54¢ · -117 | $15 | +12 |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Daniel Altmaiertennis · moneyline | Daniel Altmaier | lost | 42¢ · +138 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open WTA: Tatjana Maria vs Jelena Ostapenkotennis · moneyline | Jelena Ostapenko | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $26 | −26 |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open ATP: Alexei Popyrin vs Alejandro Tabilotennis · moneyline | Alejandro Tabilo | won | 54¢ · -117 | $26 | +21 |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open ATP: Jaime Faria vs Carlos Alcaraztennis · moneyline | Jaime Faria | lost | 11¢ · +809 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Asschetennis · moneyline | Denis Shapovalov | won | 59¢ · -144 | $26 | +17 |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Marco Trungellititennis · moneyline | Alexander Blockx | won | 77¢ · -338 | $25 | +7 |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samueltennis · moneyline | Jiri Lehecka | won | 72¢ · -257 | $25 | +9 |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Hubert Hurkacztennis · moneyline | Ben Shelton | won | 66¢ · -194 | $26 | +12 |
| 2026-09-01 | US Open ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Stefanos Tsitsipastennis · moneyline | Stefanos Tsitsipas | won | 72¢ · -257 | $25 | +9 |
| 2026-08-30 | US Open ATP: Jan Choinski vs Botic van de Zandschulptennis · moneyline | Botic van de Zandschulp | won | 76¢ · -317 | $25 | +7 |
| 2026-08-30 | US Open ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Thanasi Kokkinakistennis · moneyline | Rafael Jodar | push | 87¢ · -669 | $51 | −22 |
| 2026-08-29 | Will CF Os Belenenses win on 2026-08-30?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 72¢ · -254 | $47 | — |
| 2026-08-29 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-30?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 70¢ · -228 | $92 | — |
| 2026-08-29 | Will FC Porto win on 2026-08-29?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 75¢ · -304 | $81 | — |