Public evidence record

Lloydng

0xe1c949594766c44f557678e877ad967a0480748c

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-1.7%828 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-0.6%$246,536 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.44%364 pre-event fills

Settlement record

730-97Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−10.7uDeepest peak-to-trough over 828 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -4.1% to +0.7%

828 closed positions · 1,273 taker fills · $246,536 deployed

Typical position $100 (median) · closing line value measured over 364 pre-event fills · 2% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

8 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$155

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

No

entry 87¢ · -669now 78¢ · -344−9.5 pts

Open

value$82

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No

entry 54¢ · -117now 44¢ · +128−10.1 pts

Open

value$31

Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

Yes

entry 5¢ · +1794now 1¢ · +9424−4.2 pts

Open

value$223

Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

Yes

entry 20¢ · +409now 39¢ · +160+18.9 pts

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer598 closed541–57-0.1%
Tennis117 closed97–19-5.6%
Basketball86 closed68–18-7.1%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 97 sports · 3 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-21	Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline	Yes	lost	74¢ · -286	$51	—
2026-09-20	Exact Score: CA Paranaense 1 - 2 EC Bahia?soccer · soccer exact score	No	won	87¢ · -669	$50	—
2026-09-20	RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Real Betis Balompié: Real Betis Balompié O/U 2.5soccer · soccer team totals	Under	won	87¢ · -669	$50	+7
2026-09-20	Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)