Public evidence record

Lloydng

0xe1c949594766c44f557678e877ad967a0480748c

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 7, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-1.6%965 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-0.8%$258,993 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.80%521 pre-event fills

Settlement record

832-131Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−11.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 965 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -4.2% to +1.0%

965 closed positions · 1,453 taker fills · $258,993 deployed

Typical position $100 (median) · closing line value measured over 521 pre-event fills · 1% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

7 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$191

Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?

No

entry 87¢ · -669now 96¢ · -2122+8.5 pts

Open

value$13

Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

Yes

entry 5¢ · +1794now 0¢−4.8 pts

Open

value$61

Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

Yes

entry 20¢ · +409now 11¢ · +852−9.2 pts

Open

value$76

Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?

No

entry 52¢ · -108now 30¢ · +233−22.0 pts

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer726 closed635–90-0.7%
Tennis118 closed98–19-5.9%
Basketball87 closed69–18-7.3%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 97 sports · 3 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-05	Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)soccer · spreads	Coventry City FC	lost	68¢ · -212	$20	−20
2026-11-03	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?soccer · moneyline	Yes	won	57¢ · -133	$20	—
2026-11-03	São Paulo FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5soccer · totals	Over	lost	69¢ · -223	$41	−41
2026-11-03	Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-11-03?