Public evidence record

PCK

0xe2160eb837cd17de5915d460b1d69b5ba2ac7448

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-9.4%3,142 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.2%$985,137 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-2.29%704 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1047-1795-4Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−118.8uDeepest peak-to-trough over 3,142 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -13.2% to -5.5%

3,142 closed positions · 4,604 taker fills · $985,137 deployed

Typical position $200 (median) · closing line value measured over 704 pre-event fills · 2% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$506

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees

Tampa Bay Rays

entry 42¢ · +138now 43¢ · +135+0.5 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball1,269 closed443–725-10.1%
Basketball858 closed243–489-7.9%
Tennis498 closed189–276–2-5.9%
Football326 closed105–193–2-8.9%
Hockey147 closed50–89-5.9%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Spread: Chiefs (-7.5)football · spreads	Colts	won	60¢ · -150	$750	+500
2026-09-20	Spread: Chargers (-3.5)football · spreads	Chargers	lost	52¢ · -108	$500	−500
2026-09-20	Spread: Packers (-3.5)football · spreads	Packers	lost	46¢ · +117	$449	−449
2026-09-20	Purdue vs. UCLA · Spread UCLA (-20.5)football · spreads	Purdue	won	56¢ · -125	$250