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Public evidence record
0xe23364bbdb6ef81ca14d9162ba8547583ea314a3
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-8.3%976 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-7.3%$97,187 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-1.85%1,373 pre-event fillsSettlement record
489-452-7Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−81.4uDeepest peak-to-trough over 976 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -13.8% to -2.8%
976 closed positions · 2,136 taker fills · $97,187 deployed
Typical position $77 (median) · closing line value measured over 1,373 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Will France win on 2026-10-02?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 68¢ · -212 | $198 | — |
| 2026-10-02 | Combo: No — China Open: Alex Molcan vs Karen Khachanov + Yes — China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta + No — China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovictennis · combo | — | exited | 49¢ · +104 | $100 | +98 |
| 2026-10-02 | Combo: Stefanos Tsitsipas — Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas + Jaume Munar — Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaume Munar vs Jaime Faria + Karen Khachanov — China Open: Alex Molcan vs Karen Khachanov + Arthur Fils — Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe + Daniil Medvedev — China Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta + Novak Djokovic — China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovic + Luciano Darderi — Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderitennis · combo | — | lost | 8¢ · +1202 | $18 | −18 |
| 2026-10-02 | Combo: Stefanos Tsitsipas — Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipas + Jaume Munar — Japan Open Tennis Championships: Jaume Munar vs Jaime Faria + Arthur Fils — Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe + Luciano Darderi — Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderitennis · combo | — | lost | 15¢ · +559 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-10-01 | Combo: Denmark — Spread: Portugal (-1.5) + No — Will Wales win on 2026-10-01? + No — Will Greece win on 2026-10-01?soccer · combo | — | lost | 49¢ · +103 | $200 | −200 |
| 2026-10-01 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Valentin Vacherot vs Stefanos Tsitsipastennis · moneyline | Stefanos Tsitsipas | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $39 | −39 |
| 2026-10-01 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Kyrian Jacquet vs Luciano Darderitennis · moneyline | Luciano Darderi | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $41 | −41 |
| 2026-10-01 | Combo: Alexander Zverev — China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie + Rafael Jodar — Japan Open Tennis Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Rafael Jodar + Carlos Alcaraz — Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex Michelsentennis · combo | — | lost | 61¢ · -154 | $185 | −185 |
| 2026-10-01 | China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensiktennis · moneyline | Alexander Bublik | lost | 38¢ · +163 | $48 | −48 |
| 2026-10-01 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 68¢ · -212 | $117 | — |
| 2026-10-01 | Combo: No — China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic + No — Japan Open Tennis Championships: Tomas Etcheverry vs Stefanos Tsitsipas + Yes — Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Luca Van Asschetennis · combo | — | exited | 45¢ · +120 | $124 | +141 |
| 2026-10-01 | Combo: Taylor Fritz — Japan Open Tennis Championships: Taylor Fritz vs Jaume Munar + Alexander Zverev — China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie + Rafael Jodar — Japan Open Tennis Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Rafael Jodar + Carlos Alcaraz — Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex Michelsentennis · combo | — | lost | 45¢ · +120 | $150 | −150 |
| 2026-09-30 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $162 | — |
| 2026-09-30 | Will Denmark win on 2026-10-01?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 28¢ · +257 | $52 | — |
| 2026-09-30 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Holger Rune vs Kyrian Jacquettennis · moneyline | Holger Rune | lost | 63¢ · -170 | $112 | −112 |
| 2026-09-30 | Combo: Novak Djokovic — China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic + Tommy Paul — Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul + Stefanos Tsitsipas — Japan Open Tennis Championships: Tomas Etcheverry vs Stefanos Tsitsipas + Arthur Fils — Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Luca Van Asschetennis · combo | — | lost | 31¢ · +227 | $59 | −59 |
| 2026-09-30 | Combo: Yes — Will England win on 2026-09-29? + Yes — Will Spain win on 2026-09-29?soccer · combo | — | won | 63¢ · -167 | $426 | +242 |
| 2026-09-30 | Combo: Yes — Spread: England (-1.5) + Yes — Spread: Spain (-1.5)soccer · combo | — | won | 30¢ · +231 | $30 | +66 |
| 2026-09-29 | Spread: England (-1.5)soccer · spreads | England | won | 50¢ · -100 | $62 | +59 |
| 2026-09-28 | Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 76¢ · -317 | $295 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | Will France win on 2026-09-28?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 52¢ · -108 | $102 | — |
| 2026-09-28 | Columbus: James Kent Trotter vs Li Tutennis · moneyline | James Kent Trotter | lost | 57¢ · -130 | $88 | −88 |
| 2026-09-27 | Combo: Chiefs — Chiefs vs. Dolphins + 49ers — Cardinals vs. 49ers + Seahawks — Seahawks vs. Commanders + Bills — Chargers vs. Bills + Yes — Will Denmark win on 2026-09-27?multi sport · combo | — | lost | 30¢ · +238 | $62 | −62 |
| 2026-09-27 | Combo: Chiefs — Chiefs vs. Dolphins + 49ers — Cardinals vs. 49ers + Seahawks — Seahawks vs. Commanders + Bengals — Bengals vs. Steelers + Bills — Chargers vs. Billsfootball · combo | — | lost | 25¢ · +303 | $116 | −116 |
| 2026-09-27 | Cardinals vs. 49ersfootball · moneyline | 49ers | won | 78¢ · -355 | $168 | +47 |
| 2026-09-27 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 59¢ · -144 | $111 | — |
| 2026-09-27 | Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 34¢ · +194 | $30 | — |
| 2026-09-27 | Will Denmark win on 2026-09-27?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 71¢ · -245 | $223 | — |
| 2026-09-27 | Bengals vs. Steelersfootball · moneyline | Bengals | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $65 | −65 |
| 2026-09-27 | Combo: Yes — Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? + Yes — Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26? + Yes — Will Slovakia win on 2026-09-26?soccer · combo | — | won | 21¢ · +373 | $31 | +110 |
| 2026-09-27 | Combo: No — Will England win on 2026-09-26? + No — Will Czechia win on 2026-09-26? + Yes — Will Slovakia win on 2026-09-26?soccer · combo | — | won | 50¢ · -101 | $80 | +75 |
| 2026-09-26 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 64¢ · -178 | $111 | — |
| 2026-09-24 | Falcons vs. Packersfootball · moneyline | Packers | lost | 70¢ · -233 | $250 | −250 |
| 2026-09-24 | Combo: No — Spread: Norway (-1.5) + Yes — Will Portugal win on 2026-09-24?soccer · combo | — | exited | 59¢ · -142 | $150 | +101 |
| 2026-09-24 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 44¢ · +127 | $118 | — |
| 2026-09-24 | Will Denmark win on 2026-09-24?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 21¢ · +376 | $47 | — |
| 2026-09-23 | Combo: fnatic — Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group C + 100 Thieves — Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group Cesports · combo | — | lost | 50¢ · +100 | $72 | −72 |
| 2026-09-20 | Combo: Buccaneers — Browns vs. Buccaneers + Ravens — Saints vs. Ravens + Eagles — Eagles vs. Titans + Patriots — Steelers vs. Patriots + Texans — Bengals vs. Texansfootball · combo | — | lost | 19¢ · +419 | $100 | −100 |
| 2026-09-20 | Combo: Broncos — Jaguars vs. Broncos + Buccaneers — Browns vs. Buccaneers + Seahawks — Seahawks vs. Cardinals + 49ers — Dolphins vs. 49ers + Ravens — Saints vs. Ravens + Cowboys — Commanders vs. Cowboys + Eagles — Eagles vs. Titans + Patriots — Steelers vs. Patriots + Texans — Bengals vs. Texansfootball · combo | — | lost | 5¢ · +1967 | $33 | −33 |
| 2026-09-20 | Combo: Yes — Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-09-20? + Yes — Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-20? + Yes — Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-20? + Yes — Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · combo | — | lost | 13¢ · +694 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-09-20 | Combo: No — Will AC Horsens win on 2026-09-20? + No — Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-20? + No — Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-09-20? + No — Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20?soccer · combo | — | lost | 35¢ · +189 | $215 | −215 |
| 2026-09-20 | Combo: Yes — Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-20? + Yes — Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?soccer · combo | — | lost | 23¢ · +327 | $117 | −117 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $100 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Combo: No — Will Viborg FF win on 2026-09-20? + No — Will AC Horsens win on 2026-09-20? + No — Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-20? + No — Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-20? + No — Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-09-20? + Yes — Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? + No — Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-09-20?soccer · combo | — | lost | 14¢ · +640 | $147 | −147 |
| 2026-09-20 | Combo: Yes — Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-09-20? + Yes — Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-09-20? + Yes — Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20? + Yes — Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20? + Yes — Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-20? + Yes — Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? + Yes — Will FC København win on 2026-09-20?soccer · combo | — | lost | 1¢ · +7022 | $30 | −30 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will FC København win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 44¢ · +127 | $97 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $131 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 65¢ · -186 | $122 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Combo: Yes — Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? + Yes — Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · combo | — | lost | 48¢ · +110 | $297 | −297 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 77¢ · -335 | $335 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Combo: Yes — Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? + Yes — Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? + Yes — Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · combo | — | lost | 28¢ · +254 | $200 | −200 |
| 2026-09-19 | Combo: Yes — Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? + No — Will Millwall FC win on 2026-09-19? + No — Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19? + No — Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · combo | — | lost | 45¢ · +122 | $492 | −492 |
| 2026-09-19 | Combo: Yes — Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? + Yes — Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-09-19? + Yes — Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? + Yes — Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · combo | — | lost | 17¢ · +503 | $100 | −100 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $143 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Odense BK vs. FC Midtjylland · Spread FC Midtjylland (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Odense BK | won | 65¢ · -186 | $102 | +52 |
| 2026-09-19 | Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 44¢ · +129 | $72 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Odense BK win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 21¢ · +376 | $26 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Millwall FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 82¢ · -456 | $695 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 59¢ · -142 | $611 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | Combo: FC Bayern München — Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) + Yes — Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-18? + Yes — Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?soccer · combo | — | lost | 19¢ · +422 | $80 | −80 |
| 2026-09-18 | Combo: No — Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-18? + Yes — Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? + No — Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18?soccer · combo | — | lost | 50¢ · +101 | $269 | −269 |
| 2026-09-18 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 71¢ · -245 | $399 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-18?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 82¢ · -456 | $704 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-18?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $103 | — |
| 2026-09-18 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffsesports · moneyline | FURIA | lost | 32¢ · +212 | $37 | −37 |
| 2026-09-18 | Combo: Yes — Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? + Yes — Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17?soccer · combo | — | won | 59¢ · -141 | $450 | +303 |
| 2026-09-17 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 66¢ · -194 | $341 | — |
| 2026-09-17 | Lions vs. Billsfootball · moneyline | Bills | won | 69¢ · -223 | $578 | +247 |
| 2026-09-16 | Combo: No — Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-16? + Yes — Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?soccer · combo | — | lost | 74¢ · -288 | $795 | −795 |
| 2026-09-16 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 77¢ · -335 | $696 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $303 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 92¢ · -1150 | $1,264 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Combo: Yes — Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-09-08? + Yes — Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?soccer · combo | — | exited | 56¢ · -130 | $410 | −410 |
| 2026-09-15 | Middlesbrough FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 4.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 54¢ · -117 | $506 | +410 |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 81¢ · -426 | $851 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 75¢ · -300 | $314 | — |
| 2026-09-15 | Combo: Pavel Lagutin — Biella: Pavel Lagutin vs Enrico Dalla Valle + Matisse Bobichon — Rennes: Matisse Bobichon vs Eliakim Coulibalytennis · combo | — | won | 26¢ · +286 | $210 | +572 |
| 2026-09-15 | Rennes: Matisse Bobichon vs Eliakim Coulibalytennis · moneyline | Matisse Bobichon | won | 51¢ · -104 | $205 | +187 |
| 2026-09-15 | Combo: Yes — Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14? + Yes — Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-14? + No — Will Torino FC win on 2026-09-14?soccer · combo | — | won | 57¢ · -134 | $500 | +354 |
| 2026-09-15 | Combo: Yes — Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14? + Yes — Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-14? + Yes — Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?soccer · combo | — | won | 43¢ · +132 | $155 | +194 |
| 2026-09-14 | Broncos vs. Chiefsfootball · moneyline | Broncos | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $113 | −113 |
| 2026-09-14 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 64¢ · -178 | $195 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 80¢ · -400 | $253 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 81¢ · -426 | $252 | — |
| 2026-09-14 | Combo: Yes — Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13? + Yes — Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13? + Yes — Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-13?soccer · combo | — | won | 58¢ · -137 | $427 | +295 |
| 2026-09-14 | Combo: Odense BK — Spread: Randers FC (-1.5) + Manchester United FC — Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)soccer · combo | — | won | 61¢ · -157 | $250 | +152 |
| 2026-09-13 | Combo: Jaguars — Browns vs. Jaguars + Bills — Bills vs. Texans + Lions — Saints vs. Lions + Chargers — Cardinals vs. Chargersfootball · combo | — | lost | 26¢ · +283 | $100 | −100 |
| 2026-09-13 | Combo: No — Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? + No — Will Randers FC win on 2026-09-13?soccer · combo | — | lost | 31¢ · +223 | $33 | −33 |
| 2026-09-13 | Combo: Yes — Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13? + Yes — Will Odense BK win on 2026-09-13?soccer · combo | — | lost | 9¢ · +964 | $17 | −17 |
| 2026-09-13 | Bills vs. Texansfootball · moneyline | Bills | won | 52¢ · -108 | $123 | +108 |
| 2026-09-13 | Will Odense BK win on 2026-09-13?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 29¢ · +245 | $26 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Will Randers FC win on 2026-09-13?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 55¢ · -122 | $77 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 31¢ · +223 | $21 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $77 | — |
| 2026-09-13 | Combo: Yes — Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-12? + No — Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-12? + No — Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · combo | — | won | 65¢ · -185 | $300 | +154 |
| 2026-09-12 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 50¢ · -100 | $64 | — |
| 2026-09-12 | Combo: Legacy — Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs + G2 — Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffsesports · combo | — | won | 44¢ · +127 | $96 | +116 |
| 2026-09-12 | Combo: Yes — Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-12? + Yes — Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? + Yes — Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · combo | — | lost | 36¢ · +181 | $100 | −100 |
| 2026-09-12 | Combo: Yes — Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10? + Yes — Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-10? + Yes — Will FC København win on 2026-09-11?soccer · combo | — | won | 64¢ · -179 | $300 | +160 |
| 2026-09-12 | Combo: No — Will Venezia FC win on 2026-09-11? + Yes — Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-09-11?soccer · combo | — | won | 42¢ · +140 | $101 | +135 |