Public evidence record

Mrsimuda

0xe25ae86f3b463c17dc2b27266be310caf76c93d3

Not ranked. market maker (35% maker fills). Available on-chain history is shown below; unresolved positions are excluded from these figures.

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

+0.5%510 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

+3.1%$54,165 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.55%222 pre-event fills

Settlement record

300-57-2Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−4.2uDeepest peak-to-trough over 510 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -2.4% to +3.4%

510 closed positions · 780 taker fills · $54,165 deployed

Typical position $75 (median) · closing line value measured over 222 pre-event fills · 35% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

We couldn’t reach the source just now, so this is unavailable rather than empty. The settled record below is unaffected.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer391 closed214–45-0.5%
Tennis72 closed51–10–2-4.9%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 80 sports · 20 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-06	Nafta 1903 Lendava vs. Olimpija Ljubljana: O/U 0.5soccer · totals	Over	won	86¢ · -614	$70	+11
2026-11-06	Qarabag FK vs. Turan Tovuz: O/U 0.5soccer · totals	Over	exited	85¢ · -567	$59	+10
2026-11-06	Alba Berlin vs. Phoenix Hagenmoneyline · Non-sports	Alba Berlin	won	89¢ · -809	$37	+4
2026-11-05	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 0.5