Public evidence record

0xe426…f4ff

0xe426e04655e8d4e306bba552f4ded9ee7041f4ff

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-4.3%578 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-7.1%$31,708 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+0.27%543 pre-event fills

Settlement record

273-282-3Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−52.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 578 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -11.0% to +2.4%

578 closed positions · 819 taker fills · $31,708 deployed

Typical position $25 (median) · closing line value measured over 543 pre-event fills · 6% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball257 closed130–113-1.8%
Tennis137 closed53–76–3-10.3%
Esports75 closed39–35-2.8%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angelsbaseball · moneyline	Minnesota Twins	won	52¢ · -108	$317	+278
2026-09-20	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbaseball · moneyline	Pittsburgh Pirates	won	53¢ · -113	$3	+3
2026-09-19	James Madison vs. San Diego State · Spread San Diego State (-2.5)football · spreads	James Madison	won	50¢ · -100	$3	+3
2026-09-19	Florida State vs. Alabama: O/U 48.5football · totals	Over	won