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Public evidence record
0xe43be6d948185d4e07af7bccb1333f210dabf955
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Oct 5, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-1.9%123 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-14.9%$23,614 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-3.80%85 pre-event fillsSettlement record
60-57-1Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−6.4uDeepest peak-to-trough over 123 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -12.5% to +8.6%
123 closed positions · 173 taker fills · $23,614 deployed
Typical position $50 (median) · closing line value measured over 85 pre-event fills · 15% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 98 sports · 2 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Chiefs vs. Raidersfootball · moneyline | Chiefs | won | 55¢ · -122 | $100 | +82 |
| 2026-09-29 | Spread: Bears (-3.5)football · spreads | Eagles | lost | 58¢ · -139 | $76 | −76 |
| 2026-09-27 | Tyler Shough: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5football · passing touchdowns | Over | won | 50¢ · -100 | $95 | +95 |
| 2026-09-27 | Justin Herbert: Passing Yards O/U 224.5football · passing yards |
| Over |
| won |
| 55¢ · -122 |
| $25 |
| +20 |
| 2026-09-27 | Texans vs. Colts: O/U 42.5football · totals | Under | won | 52¢ · -108 | $30 | +28 |
| 2026-09-27 | Cardinals vs. 49ers · Spread 49ers (-6.5)football · spreads | 49ers | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $50 | −1 |
| 2026-09-27 | Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)football · spreads | Chiefs | won | 52¢ · -108 | $50 | +46 |
| 2026-09-24 | Spread: Packers (-4.5)football · spreads | Packers | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $35 | −35 |
| 2026-09-24 | Jonnu Smith: 2+ Touchdownsfootball · two plus touchdowns | Yes | lost | 1¢ · +7592 | $3 | −3 |
| 2026-09-24 | Spread: Packers (-3.5)football · spreads | Packers | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $55 | −55 |
| 2026-09-20 | Spread: Packers (-3.5)football · spreads | Jets | won | 55¢ · -122 | $70 | +57 |
| 2026-09-20 | Spread: Eagles (-7.5)football · spreads | Titans | won | 56¢ · -127 | $50 | +39 |
| 2026-09-20 | Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)football · spreads | Seahawks | won | 51¢ · -104 | $50 | +48 |
| 2026-09-20 | Spread: Patriots (-4.5)football · spreads | Patriots | won | 50¢ · -100 | $50 | +50 |
| 2026-09-13 | Spread: Raiders (-17.5)football · spreads | Dolphins | won | 64¢ · -178 | $180 | +96 |
| 2026-09-13 | Spread: Raiders (-10.5)football · spreads | Dolphins | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-09-11 | 49ers vs. Ramsfootball · moneyline | Rams | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $7,504 | −7,504 |
| 2026-08-15 | UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Kauê Fernandes | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $62 | −62 |
| 2026-08-15 | Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 20¢ · +410 | $26 | −26 |
| 2026-08-11 | Combo: Los Angeles Dodgers — Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers + Arizona Diamondbacks — Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbaseball · combo | — | won | 48¢ · +109 | $2,600 | +2,693 |
| 2026-07-29 | Combo: Los Angeles Dodgers — Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers + Milwaukee Brewers — Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giantsbaseball · combo | — | lost | 40¢ · +147 | $3,000 | −3,000 |
| 2026-07-28 | Combo: New York Yankees — New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox + Milwaukee Brewers — Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giantsbaseball · combo | — | lost | 33¢ · +206 | $250 | −250 |
| 2026-07-19 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Non-sports | Yes | exited | 61¢ · -156 | $51 | — |
| 2026-07-19 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Argentina | lost | 36¢ · +176 | $26 | −1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Will France win on 2026-07-18?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 45¢ · +122 | $46 | — |
| 2026-07-18 | France vs. England: France O/U 5.5 Cornerssoccer · soccer team total corners | Over | exited | 50¢ · -100 | $31 | −10 |
| 2026-07-15 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Argentina | won | 46¢ · +117 | $257 | +287 |
| 2026-07-14 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | France | lost | 56¢ · -130 | $119 | −119 |
| 2026-07-12 | UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Brandon Royval | won | 32¢ · +212 | $34 | +69 |
| 2026-07-11 | Will England win on 2026-07-11?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 47¢ · +111 | $67 | — |
| 2026-07-11 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padresbaseball · moneyline | San Diego Padres | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $1,025 | −1,025 |
| 2026-07-09 | Combo: Over — France vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners + Yes — Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalssoccer · combo | — | lost | 16¢ · +537 | $25 | −25 |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | No | lost | 14¢ · +614 | $15 | −15 |
| 2026-07-07 | Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 63¢ · -170 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-07-06 | United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Belgium | won | 47¢ · +113 | $130 | +143 |
| 2026-07-06 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 32¢ · +212 | $103 | — |
| 2026-07-05 | Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | Norway | won | 75¢ · -300 | $78 | +25 |
| 2026-07-04 | Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | No | won | 60¢ · -150 | $50 | +28 |
| 2026-07-04 | Combo: Argentina — Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance + Yes — Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?soccer · combo | — | won | 59¢ · -146 | $25 | +17 |
| 2026-07-04 | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?soccer · soccer penalty shootout | No | won | 39¢ · +154 | $127 | +146 |
| 2026-07-03 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 18¢ · +456 | $31 | — |
| 2026-07-01 | England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancesoccer · soccer team to advance | England | won | 66¢ · -194 | $202 | +101 |
| 2026-06-29 | Combo: Yes — Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? + Yes — Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? + No — Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?soccer · combo | — | lost | 15¢ · +552 | $25 | −25 |
| 2026-06-28 | Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 0.5soccer · totals | Over | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $18 | −18 |
| 2026-06-28 | Colombia vs. Portugal: Colombia O/U 0.5soccer · soccer team totals | Over | lost | 35¢ · +186 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-06-27 | Croatia vs. Ghana · Spread Croatia (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Ghana | won | 61¢ · -156 | $61 | +38 |
| 2026-06-27 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $30 | — |
| 2026-06-26 | Combo: Under — Norway vs. France: O/U 6.5 + No — Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score + Yes — Will France win on 2026-06-26?soccer · combo | — | lost | 40¢ · +151 | $25 | −25 |
| 2026-06-26 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalssoccer · soccer player goals | Yes | lost | 26¢ · +283 | $21 | −21 |
| 2026-06-26 | Exact Score: Any Other Score?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | won | 20¢ · +400 | $20 | — |
| 2026-06-25 | Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 42¢ · +138 | $41 | +41 |
| 2026-06-24 | Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 0.5soccer · soccer team totals | Over | won | 70¢ · -233 | $250 | +104 |
| 2026-06-20 | Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)esports · map handicap | Spirit | exited | 64¢ · -178 | $505 | +120 |
| 2026-06-20 | Map 2 Rounds Handicap · Games Total: O/U 2.5esports · totals | Over | exited | 39¢ · +155 | $51 | +65 |
| 2026-06-17 | England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | No | lost | 44¢ · +126 | $112 | −112 |
| 2026-06-17 | Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 4¢ · +2642 | $1,543 | — |
| 2026-06-15 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 43¢ · +131 | $61 | — |
| 2026-06-08 | Spurs vs. Knicksbasketball · moneyline | Spurs | won | 47¢ · +113 | $102 | +111 |
| 2026-03-13 | Final Stage: Canada vs. USAboxing · moneyline | Canada | lost | 17¢ · +502 | $33 | −33 |
| 2026-03-13 | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsesports · moneyline | Spirit | lost | 53¢ · -114 | $135 | −116 |
| 2026-02-24 | LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winneresports · child moneyline | JD Gaming | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $40 | −40 |
| 2026-02-22 | Men's Final - Canada vs. USAmoneyline · Non-sports | Canada | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $40 | −40 |
| 2026-02-22 | UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Strickland | won | 29¢ · +245 | $40 | +98 |
| 2026-02-22 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | No | won | 91¢ · -961 | $457 | +47 |
| 2026-02-10 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 48¢ · +106 | $222 | — |
| 2026-02-10 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $100 | — |
| 2026-02-08 | Seahawks vs. Patriotsfootball · moneyline | Patriots | lost | 32¢ · +212 | $200 | −200 |
| 2026-02-08 | 1H Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)football · first half spreads | Patriots | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $55 | −55 |
| 2026-02-08 | Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)football · spreads | Patriots | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-02-03 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Besports · moneyline | Team Falcons | lost | 38¢ · +163 | $15 | −15 |
| 2026-02-03 | 76ers vs. Warriors · Spread Warriors (-3.5)basketball · spreads | 76ers | won | 50¢ · -100 | $20 | +20 |
| 2026-02-01 | UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline | Lopes | lost | 30¢ · +233 | $60 | +1 |
| 2026-01-25 | Patriots vs. Broncosfootball · moneyline | Patriots | won | 46¢ · +118 | $120 | +142 |
| 2026-01-25 | Spread: Patriots (-5.5)football · spreads | Broncos | exited | 55¢ · -122 | $55 | +5 |
| 2026-01-25 | Will Derrick Lewis win by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 24¢ · +316 | $40 | −40 |
| 2026-01-24 | Will Jean Silva win by KO or TKO?mma · ufc method of victory | Yes | lost | 40¢ · +150 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-01-24 | UFC 324: Figueiredo vs. Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Prelims)mma · moneyline | Figueiredo | lost | 9¢ · +1011 | $5 | −5 |
| 2026-01-24 | Fight to Go the Distance?mma · ufc go the distance | No | lost | 35¢ · +186 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-01-23 | Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)football · spreads | Rams | lost | 60¢ · -150 | $60 | −60 |
| 2026-01-20 | Miami vs. Indiana · Spread Indiana (-7.5)football · spreads | Miami | won | 40¢ · +152 | $40 | +61 |
| 2026-01-18 | Spread: Rams (-3.5)football · spreads | Bears | won | 50¢ · -100 | $40 | +40 |
| 2026-01-18 | Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 47.5football · totals | Over | won | 50¢ · -100 | $100 | +100 |
| 2026-01-18 | Nets vs. Bulls · Spread Bulls (-6.5)basketball · spreads | Bulls | won | 50¢ · -100 | $30 | +30 |
| 2026-01-17 | Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)football · spreads | 49ers | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $50 | −50 |
| 2026-01-17 | Bills vs. Broncosfootball · moneyline | Broncos | won | 53¢ · -113 | $50 | +44 |
| 2026-01-11 | 49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 49.5football · totals | Under | won | 42¢ · +137 | $20 | +27 |
| 2026-01-11 | 49ers vs. Eaglesfootball · moneyline | Eagles | lost | 69¢ · -223 | $400 | −400 |
| 2026-01-11 | Bills vs. Jaguars · Spread Bills (-3.5)football · spreads | Jaguars | won | 50¢ · -100 | $4 | +4 |
| 2026-01-11 | Spread: Packers (-4.5)football · spreads | Packers | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $180 | −55 |
| 2026-01-06 | Hornets vs. Thunderbasketball · moneyline | Thunder | exited | 23¢ · +335 | $23 | −10 |
| 2026-01-05 | Avalanche vs. Panthershockey · moneyline | Panthers | won | 43¢ · +133 | $179 | +237 |
| 2026-01-02 | Ole Miss vs. Georgia · Spread Georgia (-6.5)football · spreads | Georgia | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $60 | −60 |
| 2026-01-01 | Miami vs. Ohio Statefootball · moneyline | Ohio State | lost | 39¢ · +156 | $20 | −20 |
| 2025-12-30 | Wild vs. Golden Knightshockey · moneyline | Wild | won | 52¢ · -108 | $20 | +18 |
| 2025-12-30 | Sabres vs. Blueshockey · moneyline | Sabres | won | 52¢ · -108 | $20 | +18 |
| 2025-12-30 | Sharks vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5hockey · totals | Over | won | 56¢ · -127 | $20 | +16 |
| 2025-12-30 | Sabres vs. Blues: O/U 5.5hockey · totals | Over | won | 55¢ · -122 | $20 | +16 |
| 2025-12-29 | Hawks vs. Thunder · Spread Thunder (-17.5)basketball · spreads | Hawks | won | 53¢ · -113 | $20 | +18 |
| 2025-12-29 | Rams vs. Falcons: O/U 49.5football · totals | Under | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $20 | −20 |
| 2025-12-28 | Spread: Steelers (-3.5)football · spreads | Browns | won | 48¢ · +108 | $80 | +45 |