Public evidence record

HMasteR

0xe450c8a2322b53c93605f70971aaaf973040a40a

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-5.8%372 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-4.7%$84,517 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

+0.03%310 pre-event fills

Settlement record

212-141-4Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−31.6uDeepest peak-to-trough over 372 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -12.3% to +0.7%

372 closed positions · 565 taker fills · $84,517 deployed

Typical position $177 (median) · closing line value measured over 310 pre-event fills · 4% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

3 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$71

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes

entry 38¢ · +164now 28¢ · +251−9.4 pts

Open

value$104

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes

entry 51¢ · -104now 53¢ · -113+2.0 pts

Open

value$23

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Yes

entry 12¢ · +726now 6¢ · +1567−6.1 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Esports200 closed118–68–2-5.0%
Soccer66 closed34–30-7.6%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-19	Combo: Yes — Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-09-19? + Yes — Will Crewe Alexandra FC win on 2026-09-19? + Yes — Will Southampton FC win on 2026-09-19? + Yes — Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-19? + Yes — Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-09-19? + Yes — Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? + Yes — Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19? + Yes — Will Grimsby Town FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · combo	—	lost	1¢ · +10585	$5	−5
2026-09-19	UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)mma · moneyline	Joshua Van	won	58¢ · -138	$278	+191
2026-09-17	Combo: No — Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-09-17? + No — Will Málaga CF win on 2026-09-17?soccer · combo	—	lost	61¢ · -155	$180	−180
2026-09-17