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Public evidence record
0xe478d4ca1c959e78f4ad9e563b134c54363128ea
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Oct 5, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
+2.5%171 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-5.2%$88,960 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-0.88%131 pre-event fillsSettlement record
103-63Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−20.8uDeepest peak-to-trough over 171 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -6.9% to +11.9%
171 closed positions · 214 taker fills · $88,960 deployed
Typical position $406 (median) · closing line value measured over 131 pre-event fills · 10% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 92 sports · 8 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | Combo: No — Spread: Raiders (-8.5) + No — Broncos vs. 49ers: O/U 64.5football · combo | — | exited | 79¢ · -385 | $54 | +13 |
| 2026-10-04 | Jaguars vs. Bengalsfootball · moneyline | Jaguars | won | 66¢ · -194 | $36 | +18 |
| 2026-10-04 | Patriots vs. Billsfootball · moneyline | Bills | lost | 74¢ · -285 | $221 | −185 |
| 2026-10-04 | New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5 |
| Under |
| won |
| 84¢ · -512 |
| $25 |
| +5 |
| 2026-10-03 | Combo: No — California vs. UNLV + No — Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5multi sport · combo | — | exited | 78¢ · -361 | $60 | +16 |
| 2026-10-03 | Combo: Ohio State — Ohio State vs. Iowa + Louisville — Louisville vs. NC State + Florida — Florida vs. Missouri + Nebraska — Maryland vs. Nebraska + Tennessee — Auburn vs. Tennesseefootball · combo | — | lost | 24¢ · +310 | $5,000 | −4,861 |
| 2026-10-03 | Combo: Wisconsin — Michigan State vs. Wisconsin + Michigan — Michigan vs. Minnesota + Wake Forest — Stanford vs. Wake Forest + Florida — Florida vs. Missouri + Alabama — Alabama vs. Mississippi Statefootball · combo | — | lost | 21¢ · +369 | $4,000 | −4,000 |
| 2026-10-03 | Combo: Under — Liberty vs. Delaware: O/U 53.5 + Under — Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech: O/U 75.5football · combo | — | won | 81¢ · -435 | $7,000 | +1,529 |
| 2026-10-01 | Combo: Over — Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 36.5 + San Diego Padres — Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres + Florida — Florida vs. Missouri + Yes — Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?multi sport · combo | — | lost | 17¢ · +495 | $2,500 | −2,500 |
| 2026-09-28 | Spread: Eagles (-6.5)football · spreads | Eagles | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $4,000 | −4,000 |
| 2026-09-27 | Combo: Bills — Spread: Bills (-6.5) + Chiefs — Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) + Seahawks — Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)football · combo | — | lost | 22¢ · +344 | $3,000 | −3,000 |
| 2026-09-27 | Combo: Oregon — Oregon vs. USC + LSU — Texas A&M vs. LSU + Alabama — South Carolina vs. Alabama + Nebraska — Nebraska vs. Michigan State + Penn State — Wisconsin vs. Penn Statefootball · combo | — | lost | 22¢ · +351 | $1,000 | −1,000 |
| 2026-09-26 | Combo: Virginia Tech — Virginia Tech vs. Boston College + Louisville — Wake Forest vs. Louisville + Baylor — Colorado vs. Baylor + UTSA — Colorado State vs. UTSA + UNLV — UNLV vs. Akronfootball · combo | — | lost | 39¢ · +158 | $600 | −600 |
| 2026-09-25 | Combo: Indiana Fever — Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynx + Golden State Valkyries — Golden State Valkyries vs. Los Angeles Sparksbasketball · combo | — | lost | 52¢ · -108 | $600 | −600 |
| 2026-09-24 | Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Over | won | 54¢ · -116 | $614 | +503 |
| 2026-09-23 | Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Over | won | 50¢ · -102 | $615 | +575 |
| 2026-09-22 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Spread Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Philadelphia Phillies | won | 37¢ · +170 | $619 | +1,003 |
| 2026-09-21 | Spread: Rams (-6.5)football · spreads | Rams | won | 52¢ · -108 | $600 | +554 |
| 2026-09-21 | Atlanta Dream vs. New York Libertybasketball · moneyline | New York Liberty | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $616 | −616 |
| 2026-09-21 | Combo: Broncos — Spread: Broncos (-2.5) + Cowboys — Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)football · combo | — | won | 28¢ · +257 | $600 | +1,467 |
| 2026-09-20 | Spread: Panthers (-2.5)football · spreads | Panthers | won | 52¢ · -108 | $600 | +554 |
| 2026-09-20 | Steelers vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5football · totals | Under | won | 51¢ · -104 | $600 | +576 |
| 2026-09-19 | Kent State vs. Ohio State: O/U 59.5football · totals | Over | won | 49¢ · +105 | $600 | +137 |
| 2026-09-17 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbaseball · moneyline | Pittsburgh Pirates | won | 43¢ · +134 | $617 | +785 |
| 2026-09-15 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 53¢ · -113 | $614 | +519 |
| 2026-09-14 | Combo: Steelers — Spread: Steelers (-6.5) + Bills — Bills vs. Texans + Vikings — Packers vs. Vikingsfootball · combo | — | won | 16¢ · +539 | $600 | +3,080 |
| 2026-08-23 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $613 | −613 |
| 2026-08-22 | San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 57¢ · -131 | $613 | +446 |
| 2026-07-24 | Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giantsbaseball · moneyline | San Francisco Giants | won | 60¢ · -150 | $612 | +388 |
| 2026-07-24 | Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 57¢ · -133 | $613 | +440 |
| 2026-07-23 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $612 | −612 |
| 2026-07-23 | Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbaseball · moneyline | Cleveland Guardians | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $613 | −613 |
| 2026-07-21 | San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbaseball · moneyline | Atlanta Braves | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $613 | −613 |
| 2026-07-20 | New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewersbaseball · moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers | won | 66¢ · -194 | $610 | +299 |
| 2026-07-19 | Washington Nationals vs. Athleticsbaseball · moneyline | Washington Nationals | won | 57¢ · -133 | $613 | +439 |
| 2026-07-18 | San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Marinersbaseball · moneyline | Seattle Mariners | won | 56¢ · -127 | $613 | +458 |
| 2026-07-18 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 45¢ · +122 | $616 | +717 |
| 2026-07-18 | Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 56¢ · -126 | $613 | −291 |
| 2026-07-17 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 57¢ · -133 | $613 | +440 |
| 2026-07-17 | Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Bravesbaseball · moneyline | Atlanta Braves | won | 66¢ · -194 | $610 | +299 |
| 2026-07-12 | Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbaseball · moneyline | Atlanta Braves | won | 47¢ · +113 | $616 | +661 |
| 2026-07-11 | Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Redsbaseball · moneyline | Chicago Cubs | won | 52¢ · -108 | $614 | +539 |
| 2026-07-09 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbaseball · moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers | won | 56¢ · -127 | $608 | +464 |
| 2026-07-08 | Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbaseball · moneyline | Atlanta Braves | won | 49¢ · +104 | $609 | +615 |
| 2026-07-07 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbaseball · moneyline | Texas Rangers | won | 60¢ · -150 | $607 | +393 |
| 2026-07-07 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twinsbaseball · moneyline | Cleveland Guardians | lost | 49¢ · +102 | $609 | −609 |
| 2026-07-07 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Redsbaseball · moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies | won | 61¢ · -154 | $607 | +381 |
| 2026-07-07 | New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbaseball · moneyline | Tampa Bay Rays | won | 54¢ · -117 | $608 | +503 |
| 2026-07-06 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giantsbaseball · moneyline | Toronto Blue Jays | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $609 | −609 |
| 2026-07-06 | New York Mets vs. Atlanta Bravesbaseball · moneyline | Atlanta Braves | lost | 54¢ · -117 | $608 | −608 |
| 2026-07-05 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angelsbaseball · moneyline | Boston Red Sox | won | 59¢ · -144 | $607 | +410 |
| 2026-07-05 | Miami Marlins vs. Athleticsbaseball · moneyline | Miami Marlins | won | 48¢ · +108 | $609 | +641 |
| 2026-07-05 | New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 58¢ · -138 | $608 | −608 |
| 2026-07-04 | Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Matteo Berrettinitennis · moneyline | Matteo Berrettini | lost | 59¢ · -144 | $253 | −158 |
| 2026-07-04 | Chicago Cubs winning after 5 innings?baseball · baseball team first five winner | Yes | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $608 | — |
| 2026-07-04 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 55¢ · -122 | $608 | +483 |
| 2026-07-04 | Miami Marlins vs. Athleticsbaseball · moneyline | Miami Marlins | won | 55¢ · -122 | $608 | +483 |
| 2026-07-04 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royalsbaseball · moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies | won | 59¢ · -144 | $607 | +410 |
| 2026-07-03 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Redsbaseball · moneyline | Baltimore Orioles | won | 54¢ · -117 | $608 | +503 |
| 2026-06-29 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Miami Marlins (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Miami Marlins | won | 48¢ · +108 | $609 | +641 |
| 2026-06-28 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Atlanta Braves (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Atlanta Braves | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $610 | −610 |
| 2026-06-19 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Los Angeles Dodgers | lost | 51¢ · -103 | $609 | −609 |
| 2026-06-19 | United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $406 | −406 |
| 2026-06-18 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 49¢ · +104 | $609 | +615 |
| 2026-06-18 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Marinersbaseball · moneyline | Baltimore Orioles | won | 45¢ · +122 | $407 | +482 |
| 2026-06-17 | Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbaseball · moneyline | Washington Nationals | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $253 | −253 |
| 2026-06-17 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5baseball · totals | Under | won | 54¢ · -117 | $608 | +503 |
| 2026-06-16 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewersbaseball · moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers | won | 60¢ · -150 | $506 | +327 |
| 2026-06-15 | Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astrosbaseball · moneyline | Detroit Tigers | won | 48¢ · +108 | $609 | +641 |
| 2026-06-14 | Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Soxbaseball · moneyline | Texas Rangers | won | 48¢ · +108 | $609 | +641 |
| 2026-06-13 | Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5baseball · totals | Over | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $609 | −609 |
| 2026-06-11 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Los Angeles Dodgers | won | 51¢ · -102 | $609 | +577 |
| 2026-06-10 | Spread: Knicks (-2.5)basketball · spreads | Spurs | won | 52¢ · -108 | $609 | +545 |
| 2026-06-09 | Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsbaseball · moneyline | Texas Rangers | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $608 | −608 |
| 2026-06-08 | New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5baseball · totals | Under | lost | 47¢ · +111 | $609 | −609 |
| 2026-06-07 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Los Angeles Dodgers | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $609 | −609 |
| 2026-06-06 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. San Diego Padresbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 53¢ · -113 | $203 | +175 |
| 2026-06-06 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Bravesbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 54¢ · -118 | $101 | −101 |
| 2026-06-05 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankeesbaseball · moneyline | Boston Red Sox | won | 44¢ · +127 | $610 | +754 |
| 2026-06-04 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 55¢ · -124 | $101 | +79 |
| 2026-06-04 | Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbaseball · moneyline | Minnesota Twins | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $609 | −609 |
| 2026-06-03 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Philadelphia Phillies | lost | 49¢ · +104 | $609 | −609 |
| 2026-06-02 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbaseball · moneyline | Atlanta Braves | won | 53¢ · -113 | $608 | +524 |
| 2026-05-13 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 51¢ · -104 | $3 | −3 |
| 2026-05-13 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athleticsbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 46¢ · +115 | $985 | −985 |
| 2026-05-12 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangersbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $921 | −921 |
| 2026-05-12 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $101 | −101 |
| 2026-05-11 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 54¢ · -117 | $1,051 | +873 |
| 2026-05-11 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 58¢ · -137 | $662 | −662 |
| 2026-05-10 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 53¢ · -113 | $608 | +524 |
| 2026-05-10 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padresbaseball · nrfi | No | won | 53¢ · -111 | $340 | +296 |
| 2026-05-10 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Soxbaseball · nrfi | No | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $339 | −339 |
| 2026-03-15 | Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 31¢ · +226 | $857 | — |
| 2026-03-15 | Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Non-sports | Yes | won | 78¢ · -355 | $500 | — |
| 2026-03-15 | Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Non-sports | Yes | won | 72¢ · -257 | $100 | — |
| 2026-03-15 | Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?Non-sports | Yes | won | 81¢ · -426 | $100 | — |
| 2026-03-15 | Will Sinners win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards?Non-sports | Yes | won | 96¢ · -2346 | $100 | — |
| 2026-03-15 | Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Non-sports | Yes | won | 71¢ · -245 | $100 | — |
| 2026-03-15 | Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 77¢ · -335 | $100 | — |
| 2026-03-15 | Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Non-sports | Yes | lost | 75¢ · -300 | $100 | — |