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Public evidence record
0xe5ba955ca5676f58a84eba244f89e1658d3b960f
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-3.9%162 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-0.1%$6,051 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-1.49%312 pre-event fillsSettlement record
100-57Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−5.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 162 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -10.9% to +3.1%
162 closed positions · 597 taker fills · $6,051 deployed
Typical position $38 (median) · closing line value measured over 312 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC · Spread Manchester City FC (-2.5)soccer · spreads | Sunderland AFC | won | 73¢ · -270 | $81 | −2 |
| 2026-09-20 | Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 0 Sunderland AFC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 10¢ · +900 | $6 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5soccer · totals | Under | exited | 61¢ · -156 | $31 | −13 |
| 2026-09-18 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost |
| 57¢ · -133 |
| $51 |
| — |
| 2026-09-16 | Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Real Racing Club?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 5¢ · +1900 | $3 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Real Racing Club?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 7¢ · +1329 | $4 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 0 Real Racing Club?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 7¢ · +1329 | $4 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 0 Real Racing Club?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 3¢ · +3025 | $2 | — |
| 2026-09-16 | FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club · Spread FC Barcelona (-2.5)soccer · spreads | FC Barcelona | won | 66¢ · -194 | $71 | +35 |
| 2026-09-16 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 70¢ · -233 | $51 | +21 |
| 2026-09-13 | Combo: No — Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 + Yes — Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · combo | — | won | 50¢ · +101 | $35 | +34 |
| 2026-09-12 | Combo: Yes — Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? + Yes — Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · combo | — | lost | 54¢ · -119 | $40 | −40 |
| 2026-09-11 | Combo: Yes — Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Score + Yes — Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-11?soccer · combo | — | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $35 | −35 |
| 2026-09-11 | Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)soccer · spreads | Real Madrid CF | won | 51¢ · -104 | $38 | −3 |
| 2026-09-11 | Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 1 Fulham FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 9¢ · +1011 | $3 | — |
| 2026-09-11 | Exact Score: Liverpool FC 2 - 2 Fulham FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 6¢ · +1567 | $2 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Combo: FC Bayern München — Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) + Yes — Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-10?soccer · combo | — | won | 64¢ · -176 | $100 | +54 |
| 2026-09-10 | Combo: Fenerbahçe SK — Spread: AS Roma (-1.5) + RB Leipzig — Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)soccer · combo | — | lost | 54¢ · -116 | $20 | −20 |
| 2026-09-10 | Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 2 - 2 Everton FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 6¢ · +1567 | $1 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 1 - 2 Everton FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | exited | 7¢ · +1250 | $2 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 1 - 1 Everton FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 13¢ · +669 | $2 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-12?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $31 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 2 FK Bodø/Glimt?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 4¢ · +2729 | $1 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 1 FK Bodø/Glimt?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 6¢ · +1567 | $2 | — |
| 2026-09-10 | Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 0 FK Bodø/Glimt?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 3¢ · +2998 | $1 | — |
| 2026-09-09 | Combo: Under — SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 + Paris Saint-Germain FC — Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)soccer · combo | — | won | 62¢ · -164 | $50 | +29 |
| 2026-09-09 | Combo: FC Barcelona — Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) + Yes — Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-09?soccer · combo | — | won | 61¢ · -158 | $50 | +30 |
| 2026-09-06 | Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 2 Chelsea FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 6¢ · +1567 | $2 | — |
| 2026-09-06 | Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 1 Chelsea FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | exited | 12¢ · +733 | $3 | — |
| 2026-09-06 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 57¢ · -133 | $31 | — |
| 2026-09-05 | Exact Score: FC Schalke 04 0 - 1 FC Bayern München?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 6¢ · +1567 | $2 | — |
| 2026-09-05 | Exact Score: FC Schalke 04 1 - 2 FC Bayern München?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 9¢ · +1011 | $3 | — |
| 2026-09-05 | Exact Score: FC Schalke 04 1 - 3 FC Bayern München?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 9¢ · +1011 | $3 | — |
| 2026-09-05 | Exact Score: FC Schalke 04 0 - 3 FC Bayern München?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 10¢ · +900 | $3 | — |
| 2026-09-05 | Exact Score: FC Schalke 04 0 - 2 FC Bayern München?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 9¢ · +1011 | $3 | — |
| 2026-09-05 | Exact Score: Brentford FC 3 - 1 Sunderland AFC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 7¢ · +1329 | $2 | — |
| 2026-09-05 | Exact Score: Brentford FC 3 - 0 Sunderland AFC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 7¢ · +1329 | $2 | — |
| 2026-09-05 | Exact Score: Brentford FC 2 - 1 Sunderland AFC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 11¢ · +809 | $3 | — |
| 2026-09-05 | Exact Score: Brentford FC 2 - 0 Sunderland AFC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 11¢ · +809 | $3 | — |
| 2026-09-05 | Exact Score: Brentford FC 1 - 1 Sunderland AFC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | won | 12¢ · +733 | $3 | — |
| 2026-09-05 | Exact Score: Brentford FC 1 - 0 Sunderland AFC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 12¢ · +733 | $3 | — |
| 2026-09-05 | Manchester City FC vs. Coventry City FC · Spread Manchester City FC (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Manchester City FC | lost | 69¢ · -223 | $48 | −48 |
| 2026-09-04 | Combo: Yes — Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-04? + Yes — Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05?soccer · combo | — | lost | 59¢ · -142 | $150 | −150 |
| 2026-09-03 | Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-05?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 42¢ · +138 | $15 | — |
| 2026-08-31 | FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid · Spread FC Barcelona (-1.5)soccer · spreads | FC Barcelona | won | 71¢ · -245 | $53 | +20 |
| 2026-08-30 | Combo: Yes — Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-30? + Yes — Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-30?soccer · combo | — | won | 63¢ · -171 | $40 | +22 |
| 2026-08-30 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 64¢ · -178 | $39 | — |
| 2026-08-30 | Exact Score: Chelsea FC 2 - 1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 11¢ · +809 | $4 | — |
| 2026-08-30 | Exact Score: Chelsea FC 2 - 0 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 8¢ · +1150 | $3 | — |
| 2026-08-30 | Exact Score: Chelsea FC 1 - 1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 12¢ · +733 | $4 | — |
| 2026-08-30 | Exact Score: Chelsea FC 1 - 0 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 9¢ · +1011 | $3 | — |
| 2026-08-29 | Combo: Under — AFC Bournemouth vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5 + Yes — Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-29?soccer · combo | — | lost | 32¢ · +215 | $15 | −15 |
| 2026-08-29 | Combo: Over — Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 0.5 + Yes — Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?soccer · combo | — | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $41 | −41 |
| 2026-08-29 | Exact Score: Coventry City FC 2 - 1 Hull City AFC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 11¢ · +809 | $3 | — |
| 2026-08-29 | Exact Score: Coventry City FC 1 - 1 Hull City AFC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 13¢ · +669 | $3 | — |
| 2026-08-29 | Exact Score: Coventry City FC 2 - 0 Hull City AFC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 10¢ · +900 | $3 | — |
| 2026-08-29 | Exact Score: Coventry City FC 1 - 0 Hull City AFC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 12¢ · +733 | $3 | — |
| 2026-08-28 | Combo: Yes — Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28? + Yes — Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-28?soccer · combo | — | won | 41¢ · +143 | $15 | +20 |
| 2026-08-28 | FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart · Spread FC Bayern München (-1.5)soccer · spreads | FC Bayern München | won | 64¢ · -178 | $39 | +21 |
| 2026-08-28 | Exact Score: AC Milan 3 - 1 Venezia FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 7¢ · +1329 | $2 | — |
| 2026-08-28 | Exact Score: AC Milan 2 - 1 Venezia FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 11¢ · +809 | $3 | — |
| 2026-08-28 | Exact Score: AC Milan 3 - 0 Venezia FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 10¢ · +900 | $3 | — |
| 2026-08-28 | Exact Score: AC Milan 2 - 0 Venezia FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | won | 13¢ · +669 | $3 | — |
| 2026-08-27 | Combo: Chelsea FC — Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5) + Yes — Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?soccer · combo | — | won | 55¢ · -120 | $25 | +20 |
| 2026-08-27 | Exact Score: Chelsea FC 2 - 0 Luton Town FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | won | 13¢ · +669 | $3 | — |
| 2026-08-27 | Exact Score: Chelsea FC 2 - 1 Luton Town FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 8¢ · +1150 | $2 | — |
| 2026-08-27 | Exact Score: Chelsea FC 3 - 1 Luton Town FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 8¢ · +1150 | $2 | — |
| 2026-08-27 | Exact Score: Chelsea FC 3 - 0 Luton Town FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 13¢ · +669 | $3 | — |
| 2026-08-26 | Combo: Yes — Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-26? + Yes — Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-26?soccer · combo | — | won | 57¢ · -132 | $20 | +14 |
| 2026-08-25 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 66¢ · -194 | $59 | — |
| 2026-08-24 | Exact Score: Fulham FC 0 - 1 Chelsea FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 9¢ · +1011 | $3 | — |
| 2026-08-24 | Exact Score: Fulham FC 0 - 2 Chelsea FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 9¢ · +1011 | $3 | — |
| 2026-08-24 | Exact Score: Fulham FC 1 - 1 Chelsea FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 12¢ · +733 | $3 | — |
| 2026-08-24 | Exact Score: Fulham FC 1 - 2 Chelsea FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 11¢ · +809 | $3 | — |
| 2026-08-23 | Exact Score: Frosinone Calcio 0 - 3 Juventus FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 8¢ · +1150 | $6 | — |
| 2026-08-23 | Exact Score: Frosinone Calcio 1 - 3 Juventus FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 7¢ · +1294 | $3 | — |
| 2026-08-23 | Exact Score: Frosinone Calcio 1 - 2 Juventus FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 10¢ · +900 | $4 | — |
| 2026-08-23 | Exact Score: Frosinone Calcio 0 - 2 Juventus FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 12¢ · +733 | $4 | — |
| 2026-08-23 | Exact Score: Frosinone Calcio 0 - 1 Juventus FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | won | 12¢ · +733 | $4 | — |
| 2026-08-23 | Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 1 AFC Bournemouth?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 8¢ · +1150 | $3 | — |
| 2026-08-23 | Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 0 AFC Bournemouth?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 7¢ · +1329 | $3 | — |
| 2026-08-23 | Exact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 0 AFC Bournemouth?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 8¢ · +1150 | $3 | — |
| 2026-08-23 | Exact Score: Manchester City FC 2 - 1 AFC Bournemouth?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | won | 11¢ · +809 | $4 | — |
| 2026-08-23 | Exact Score: Manchester City FC 2 - 0 AFC Bournemouth?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 9¢ · +1011 | $3 | — |
| 2026-08-22 | Combo: Yes — Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-22? + Yes — Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?soccer · combo | — | won | 55¢ · -122 | $30 | +23 |
| 2026-08-22 | Combo: Yes — Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22? + Yes — Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?soccer · combo | — | lost | 47¢ · +111 | $30 | −30 |
| 2026-08-22 | Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 66¢ · -194 | $25 | −1 |
| 2026-08-22 | Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $20 | −1 |
| 2026-08-22 | Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scoresoccer · both teams to score | Yes | lost | 56¢ · -127 | $28 | −2 |
| 2026-08-22 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 66¢ · -194 | $46 | — |
| 2026-08-22 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-08-22?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 44¢ · +127 | $21 | — |
| 2026-08-21 | Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC · Spread Arsenal FC (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Arsenal FC | won | 61¢ · -156 | $51 | +31 |
| 2026-04-09 | Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 45¢ · +122 | $15 | — |
| 2026-04-07 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 64¢ · -178 | $30 | — |
| 2026-04-05 | FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5soccer · totals | Over | won | 76¢ · -317 | $31 | +9 |
| 2026-04-05 | FC Internazionale Milano vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Under | lost | 73¢ · -270 | $30 | −30 |
| 2026-04-04 | Southampton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5soccer · totals | Under | won | 64¢ · -178 | $36 | +20 |
| 2026-04-02 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 55¢ · -122 | $25 | — |
| 2026-03-30 | Will England win on 2026-03-31?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 64¢ · -178 | $40 | — |
| 2026-03-22 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-22?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 72¢ · -257 | $50 | — |