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Public evidence record
0xe722b8042ee25ef96719ba8aac893bb38db757c5
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-4.7%2,973 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-5.9%$206,227 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-1.04%3,328 pre-event fillsSettlement record
1612-1350-1Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−203.8uDeepest peak-to-trough over 2,973 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -7.9% to -1.5%
2,973 closed positions · 3,778 taker fills · $206,227 deployed
Typical position $43 (median) · closing line value measured over 3,328 pre-event fills · 6% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-05 | Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 22¢ · +355 | $10 | — |
| 2026-11-05 | Will NK Celje win on 2026-11-05?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 17¢ · +488 | $10 | — |
| 2026-11-05 | Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 44¢ · +127 | $10 | — |
| 2026-11-05 | Will OFI win on 2026-11-05?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 30¢ · +233 | $10 |
| — |
| 2026-11-05 | Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-11-05?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 11¢ · +809 | $10 | — |
| 2026-11-04 | Will Sabah FK win on 2026-11-04?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 17¢ · +488 | $10 | — |
| 2026-11-04 | Will FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 74¢ · -285 | $10 | — |
| 2026-11-04 | Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 48¢ · +108 | $10 | — |
| 2026-11-04 | Will Bristol City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 73¢ · -270 | $10 | — |
| 2026-11-04 | Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-11-04?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 28¢ · +257 | $10 | — |
| 2026-11-04 | Will Cardiff City FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 23¢ · +335 | $10 | — |
| 2026-11-04 | Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-11-04?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 22¢ · +355 | $10 | — |
| 2026-11-03 | Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-11-03?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 11¢ · +809 | $10 | — |
| 2026-11-03 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-03?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 11¢ · +809 | $10 | — |
| 2026-11-03 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 25¢ · +300 | $10 | — |
| 2026-11-03 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-03?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 30¢ · +233 | $10 | — |
| 2026-11-03 | Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Bolton Wanderers FC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 27¢ · +270 | $10 | — |
| 2026-11-03 | Will Bolton Wanderers FC win on 2026-11-03?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 29¢ · +245 | $10 | — |
| 2026-11-03 | Will Derby County FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 75¢ · -300 | $10 | — |
| 2026-11-03 | Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-03?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 51¢ · -104 | $10 | — |
| 2026-11-03 | Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 27¢ · +270 | $10 | — |
| 2026-11-02 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-02?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 28¢ · +257 | $10 | — |
| 2026-11-02 | Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913 · Spread Atalanta BC (-2.5)soccer · spreads | Parma Calcio 1913 | won | 75¢ · -300 | $10 | +3 |
| 2026-11-02 | Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913 · Spread Atalanta BC (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Parma Calcio 1913 | won | 54¢ · -117 | $10 | +8 |
| 2026-11-01 | Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli · Spread Juventus FC (-1.5)soccer · spreads | SSC Napoli | lost | 79¢ · -376 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-11-01 | Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-11-01?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 39¢ · +156 | $10 | — |
| 2026-11-01 | SS Lazio vs. Cagliari Calcio · Spread SS Lazio (-1.5)soccer · spreads | SS Lazio | lost | 38¢ · +163 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-11-01 | Will SS Lazio vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 79¢ · -376 | $10 | — |
| 2026-11-01 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 65¢ · -186 | $10 | — |
| 2026-11-01 | Will Frosinone Calcio vs. Torino FC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 76¢ · -317 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | Will ES Troyes AC vs. Le Mans FC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 29¢ · +245 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | PSV vs. Willem II Tilburg · Spread PSV (-2.5)soccer · spreads | Willem II Tilburg | lost | 37¢ · +170 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-31 | PSV vs. Willem II Tilburg · Spread PSV (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Willem II Tilburg | lost | 21¢ · +376 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-31 | Will PSV vs. Willem II Tilburg end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 6¢ · +1567 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-10-31?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 43¢ · +133 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 77¢ · -335 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Fortuna Sittard · Spread Feyenoord Rotterdam (-2.5)soccer · spreads | Fortuna Sittard | won | 53¢ · -113 | $10 | +9 |
| 2026-10-31 | Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-31?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 32¢ · +212 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-10-31?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 29¢ · +245 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | Will Southampton FC win on 2026-10-31?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 47¢ · +113 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | West Ham United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC · Spread West Ham United FC (-1.5)soccer · spreads | West Ham United FC | lost | 29¢ · +245 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-31 | Will Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 27¢ · +270 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfB Stuttgart · Spread Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | lost | 35¢ · +186 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-31 | Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 79¢ · -376 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-31?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 39¢ · +156 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | Will SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 76¢ · -317 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | Will AC Monza win on 2026-10-31?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 18¢ · +456 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-10-31?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 43¢ · +133 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 74¢ · -285 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-31 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 44¢ · +127 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-30 | Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-30?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 36¢ · +178 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-30 | Will Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 15¢ · +567 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-29 | Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-29?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-28 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Milwaukee Brewers | won | 42¢ · +138 | $103 | +135 |
| 2026-10-28 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbaseball · moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers | won | 57¢ · -133 | $51 | +37 |
| 2026-10-28 | Spread: SSC Napoli (-1.5)soccer · spreads | AC Monza | lost | 64¢ · -178 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-28 | Will AC Monza win on 2026-10-28?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 17¢ · +488 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-28 | Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-10-28?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 18¢ · +456 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-28 | Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 70¢ · -233 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-27 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)baseball · spreads | Tampa Bay Rays | won | 80¢ · -400 | $101 | +24 |
| 2026-10-27 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Tampa Bay Rays | won | 61¢ · -156 | $102 | +62 |
| 2026-10-27 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbaseball · moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers | lost | 53¢ · -113 | $51 | −51 |
| 2026-10-27 | Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)soccer · spreads | AS Roma | lost | 22¢ · +355 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-27 | Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)soccer · spreads | AS Roma | won | 43¢ · +133 | $10 | +13 |
| 2026-10-27 | Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-27?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 19¢ · +426 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-27 | Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)soccer · spreads | SS Lazio | won | 26¢ · +285 | $10 | +28 |
| 2026-10-27 | Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 74¢ · -285 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-27 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-27?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 49¢ · +104 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-26 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Milwaukee Brewers | won | 68¢ · -213 | $102 | +45 |
| 2026-10-26 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Tampa Bay Rays | lost | 66¢ · -194 | $102 | −102 |
| 2026-10-26 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbaseball · moneyline | Milwaukee Brewers | won | 49¢ · +104 | $103 | +102 |
| 2026-10-25 | Will AZ vs. FC Twente end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 75¢ · -300 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will AZ win on 2026-10-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will US Lecce win on 2026-10-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 15¢ · +567 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München · Spread FC Bayern München (-2.5)soccer · spreads | SC Freiburg | won | 74¢ · -285 | $10 | +3 |
| 2026-10-25 | SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München · Spread FC Bayern München (-1.5)soccer · spreads | SC Freiburg | lost | 55¢ · -122 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-25 | Will SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 18¢ · +456 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 16¢ · +525 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 35¢ · +186 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will FC Lorient win on 2026-10-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 42¢ · +138 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will AJ Auxerre vs. Le Mans FC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | No | lost | 74¢ · -285 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-10-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 46¢ · +117 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Sparta Rotterdam vs. AFC Ajax · Spread AFC Ajax (-2.5)soccer · spreads | AFC Ajax | lost | 24¢ · +317 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-25 | Sparta Rotterdam vs. AFC Ajax · Spread AFC Ajax (-1.5)soccer · spreads | AFC Ajax | lost | 42¢ · +138 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-25 | Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 82¢ · -456 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-10-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 64¢ · -178 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Spread Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | lost | 27¢ · +270 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-10-25 | Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 77¢ · -335 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 47¢ · +113 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | No | won | 74¢ · -285 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 36¢ · +178 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Hull City AFC vs. Brentford FC · Spread Brentford FC (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Hull City AFC | won | 67¢ · -203 | $10 | +5 |
| 2026-10-25 | AS Monaco FC vs. Lille OSC · Spread AS Monaco FC (-1.5)soccer · spreads | Lille OSC | won | 73¢ · -270 | $10 | +4 |
| 2026-10-25 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 27¢ · +270 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will FC Groningen win on 2026-10-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 29¢ · +245 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-24 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbaseball · moneyline | Tampa Bay Rays | lost | 48¢ · +108 | $103 | −103 |
| 2026-10-24 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Milwaukee Brewers | won | 67¢ · -203 | $102 | +48 |
| 2026-10-24 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)baseball · spreads | Tampa Bay Rays | won | 68¢ · -213 | $102 | +45 |
| 2026-10-24 | Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-10-24?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 47¢ · +113 | $10 | — |
| 2026-10-24 | SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913 · Spread SS Lazio (-2.5)soccer · spreads | SS Lazio | lost | 21¢ · +376 | $10 | −10 |