Public evidence record

lorekeeper51799

0xe80fea4327b338acbf2569f9b4ff23f4c5d4b81b

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-3.6%585 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.3%$76,964 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.61%351 pre-event fills

Settlement record

275-168-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−24.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 585 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -8.2% to +1.0%

585 closed positions · 1,261 taker fills · $76,964 deployed

Typical position $76 (median) · closing line value measured over 351 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis290 closed128–90-6.8%
Basketball118 closed52–27-1.9%
Baseball112 closed57–38-4.6%
Soccer56 closed35–10-2.9%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Jaguars vs. Broncosfootball · moneyline	Jaguars	lost	77¢ · -335	$40	−40
2026-09-20	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline	Yes	won	62¢ · -162	$88	—
2026-09-16	FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Club · Spread FC Barcelona (-1.5)soccer · spreads	FC Barcelona	won	83¢ · -488	$25	+5
2026-09-16	Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorersoccer · soccer anytime goalscorer	Yes	won	70¢ · -235