Public evidence record

A.m.only

0xe8970673b6c073b8b07cef81335423b064ca0b3b

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-5.9%759 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-2.5%$35,797 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.47%273 pre-event fills

Settlement record

429-274-2Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−28.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 759 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -10.7% to -1.0%

759 closed positions · 1,371 taker fills · $35,797 deployed

Typical position $40 (median) · closing line value measured over 273 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis293 closed158–113–2-9.9%
Soccer171 closed102–55-2.9%
Baseball146 closed78–61-8.0%
Football56 closed33–19-4.5%
Basketball53 closed38–13-1.5%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-18	Wake Forest vs. California: O/U 57.5football · totals	Over	lost	56¢ · -127	$2	−2
2026-10-18	Nebraska vs. Oregon: O/U 49.5football · totals	Over	lost	43¢ · +133	$20	−20
2026-10-18	Oklahoma State vs. Houstonfootball · moneyline	Houston	won	95¢ · -1810	$20	+1
2026-10-18	Florida State vs. Miami (FL)football · moneyline	Miami (FL)	won	72¢ · -257	$15