Public evidence record

realunagi

0xe92e48eedd15867056b51926a59aa524439f535d

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-1.7%508 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.2%$264,521 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-2.33%292 pre-event fills

Settlement record

392-80-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−21.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 508 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -5.2% to +1.8%

508 closed positions · 1,250 taker fills · $264,521 deployed

Typical position $100 (median) · closing line value measured over 292 pre-event fills · 7% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Soccer366 closed300–48–1-2.3%
Esports91 closed58–25-5.3%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 98 sports · 2 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline	Yes	lost	67¢ · -199	$1,017	—
2026-09-20	Manchester City FC leading at halftime?soccer · soccer halftime result	Yes	won	88¢ · -769	$2,011	—
2026-09-19	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline	Yes	won	42¢ · +138	$247	—
2026-09-19	Newcastle United FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 5.5