Public evidence record

0xe98c…8792

0xe98c6194374418b1d1b27321f025bd64ac2c8792

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedNov 7, 2026

Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-7.6%736 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.8%$1,083,623 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.01%549 pre-event fills

Settlement record

291-389-4Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−41.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 736 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -14.2% to -1.0%

736 closed positions · 1,584 taker fills · $1,083,623 deployed

Typical position $1,254 (median) · closing line value measured over 549 pre-event fills · 24% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis532 closed188–303–3-11.6%
Soccer67 closed33–31-4.3%
Football63 closed32–25–1-2.8%
Baseball57 closed30–22-0.2%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-11-03	Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Arthur Geatennis · moneyline	Arthur Gea	lost	55¢ · -122	$2,470	−2,470
2026-11-03	Rolex Paris Masters: Benjamin Bonzi vs Taylor Fritztennis · moneyline	Benjamin Bonzi	lost	64¢ · -175	$2,481	−2,481
2026-11-03	Rolex Paris Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Valentin Vacherottennis · moneyline	Valentin Vacherot	lost	38¢ · +163	$1,931	−1,931
2026-11-03	Rolex Paris Masters: Quentin Halys vs Arthur Ferytennis · moneyline	Arthur Fery	lost