Public evidence record

Omega41

0xea6ed19a754da974d5cf8dee5fca5498515e7c46

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-5.2%848 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.5%$76,134 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.80%2,172 pre-event fills

Settlement record

405-416Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−63.0uDeepest peak-to-trough over 848 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -10.9% to +0.6%

848 closed positions · 2,932 taker fills · $76,134 deployed

Typical position $105 (median) · closing line value measured over 2,172 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball683 closed324–344-8.8%
Hockey72 closed36–31+3.7%
Basketball57 closed29–21+2.7%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-08-07	Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Washington Nationals (-1.5)baseball · spreads	Cincinnati Reds	lost	61¢ · -156	$71	−71
2026-08-07	Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread New York Yankees (-1.5)baseball · spreads	Atlanta Braves	won	64¢ · -177	$71	+38
2026-08-07	Will there be a run scored in the first inning? · Spread Houston Astros (-1.5)baseball · spreads	San Diego Padres	lost	65¢ · -186	$71	−71
2026-08-07	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbaseball · moneyline	Los Angeles Dodgers