Public evidence record

nelron

0xeac63bd6161f7521f99cf23ef00c1f8996624ac7

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-5.1%76 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-2.4%$34,333 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

Insufficient sample9 pre-event fills

Settlement record

55-12Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−2.1uDeepest peak-to-trough over 76 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -9.8% to -0.3%

76 closed positions · 158 taker fills · $34,333 deployed

Typical position $401 (median) · closing line value measured over 9 pre-event fills · 1% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Baseball60 closed46–9-5.2%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

In this window: 69 sports · 31 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-18	Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angelsbaseball · moneyline	Minnesota Twins	lost	62¢ · -160	$51	−34
2026-09-16	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Redsbaseball · moneyline	Los Angeles Dodgers	won	69¢ · -223	$51	+21
2026-09-15	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?soccer · moneyline	Yes	won	96¢ · -2400	$160	—
2026-08-22	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?