Public evidence record

0xeb2e…ed1c

0xeb2ec95e83d99f2a4b2b34af7f0e7f57ed6bed1c

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedOct 13, 2026

Source sync: Oct 12, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-6.6%106 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-3.1%$17,313 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-0.78%44 pre-event fills

Settlement record

31-57-1Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−23.3uDeepest peak-to-trough over 106 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -17.8% to +4.6%

106 closed positions · 552 taker fills · $17,313 deployed

Typical position $88 (median) · closing line value measured over 44 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

1 open · checked just now

Read from public settlement data, not self-reported. Prices are cents per $1 share, which is the implied chance, followed by the same price in American odds — one price written two ways, never a stake. Movement is how the market has priced this since they entered; it is not a prediction, and it is not advice.

value$120

Jinan: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Keegan Smith

Stefanos Sakellaridis

entry 36¢ · +178now 62¢ · -160+25.6 pts

Open

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis50 closed12–30-9.5%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-10-12	Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?soccer · moneyline	Yes	won	27¢ · +270	$73	—
2026-10-12	Bulls vs. Nuggets · Spread Nuggets (-5.5)basketball · spreads	Nuggets	lost	54¢ · -115	$97	−97
2026-10-12	Will CF Pachuca vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw?soccer · moneyline	Yes	won	31¢ · +223	$62	—
2026-10-12	Ravens vs. Falconsfootball · moneyline	Falcons	lost	61¢ · -156