Public evidence record

mm12310

0xeb77d9d56dcb015a9b55b765851201032776ef9e

Record anatomy

Know what this profile can prove.

Read the methodology

Evidence sourcePublic Polymarket data

Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.

Identity statusUnclaimed public record

The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.

Stats recomputedSep 21, 2026

Source sync: Sep 21, 2026.

Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet

Typical return

-1.2%2,135 closed · winsorized per-position

Bankroll return

-1.6%$2,865,541 deployed · longshots uncapped

Closing line value

-1.10%1,331 pre-event fills

Settlement record

1199-583-6Wins · losses · pushes

Worst drawdown

−45.9uDeepest peak-to-trough over 2,135 closed

95% confidence interval on typical return: -3.2% to +0.7%

2,135 closed positions · 6,868 taker fills · $2,865,541 deployed

Typical position $1,008 (median) · closing line value measured over 1,331 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making

Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.

Currently holding

No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.

By sport

Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.

Tennis1,476 closed834–395–6-0.3%
Soccer589 closed334–169-4.4%

Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.

Position log

Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.

Settled	Market	Side	Result	Entry price	Cost	P&L
2026-09-20	Combo: Over — Amed Sportif vs. Beşiktaş JK: Beşiktaş JK O/U 1.5 + Clara Burel — Valencia: Alicia Herrero Linana vs Clara Burelmulti sport · combo	—	won	41¢ · +146	$283	+392
2026-09-20	Jaguars vs. Broncosfootball · moneyline	Jaguars	exited	64¢ · -178	$400	−75
2026-09-20	Amed Sportif vs. Beşiktaş JK: Beşiktaş JK O/U 1.5soccer · soccer team totals	Over	won	57¢ · -132	$538	+387
2026-09-20	Combo: Over — Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: Manchester United FC O/U 0.5 + Over — FC Schalke 04 vs. SV 07 Elversberg: FC Schalke 04 O/U 0.5 + Over — Amed Sportif vs. Beşiktaş JK: Beşiktaş JK O/U 0.5