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Public evidence record
0xebc0e70751b70bb7858a918eca36f3cb9f925806
Record anatomy
Trades and settlements are ingested from the public market record, not self-reported.
The record is public; no ownership claim is attached yet.
Source sync: Nov 6, 2026.
Claim status and skill are different signals. Claiming a record will prove control of the wallet, not change its rank, tier, or numbers. Claim this wallet
Typical return
-7.7%308 closed · winsorized per-positionBankroll return
-2.2%$328,292 deployed · longshots uncappedClosing line value
-1.83%121 pre-event fillsSettlement record
182-77Wins · losses · pushesWorst drawdown
−17.0uDeepest peak-to-trough over 308 closed95% confidence interval on typical return: -11.9% to -3.5%
308 closed positions · 2,373 taker fills · $328,292 deployed
Typical position $502 (median) · closing line value measured over 121 pre-event fills · 0% of fills were market making
Two different returns, on purpose. Typical return is the equal-weight mean of per-position results after capping extreme longshot payouts (same series as the ranking t-stat) and shrinking toward the population mean when the sample is small. Bankroll return is total P&L ÷ total deployed — real dollars, including lottery tickets. Neither is a tip. Full methodology.
No open positions above $1 as of just now. This wallet is flat.
Where this record comes from. Each sport carries its own sample and is scored against the others in that sport, never against the overall board.
Sports with fewer than 30 closed positions are not listed — there is nothing to say about them yet. The full position log shows every market either way.
Every settled position in this page window, newest first. Entry price is what one $1 share cost, followed by that same price in American odds — one price, two notations, never a stake. Losses render exactly as wins do. Ranking only uses sports-classified markets; crypto and other non-sports can still appear here because the wallet traded them.
In this window: 96 sports · 4 non-sports · 0 unlabeled. Non-sports (Bitcoin ticks, politics, etc.) are excluded from the sports leaderboard on purpose.
| Settled | Market | Side | Result | Entry price | Cost | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | Will CSD Colo-Colo win on 2026-10-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 81¢ · -426 | $129 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 50¢ · +101 | $498 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 38¢ · +163 | $189 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-25? |
| Yes |
| won |
| 77¢ · -335 |
| $322 |
| — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 78¢ · -355 | $254 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-10-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 69¢ · -223 | $186 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will Kristiansund BK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 56¢ · -129 | $107 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-10-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 88¢ · -733 | $470 | — |
| 2026-10-25 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 89¢ · -809 | $421 | — |
| 2026-10-23 | Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-10-23?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 72¢ · -257 | $243 | — |
| 2026-10-23 | Exact Score: Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata 2 - 0 CA Sarmiento?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | won | 71¢ · -245 | $180 | — |
| 2026-10-23 | Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-10-23?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 84¢ · -525 | $156 | — |
| 2026-10-23 | Will CA Grau vs. AD Tarma end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 50¢ · +101 | $189 | — |
| 2026-10-23 | Will AD Tarma win on 2026-10-23?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 41¢ · +144 | $88 | — |
| 2026-10-23 | Will CA Grau win on 2026-10-23?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 50¢ · +101 | $205 | — |
| 2026-10-23 | Will Ipswich Town FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 79¢ · -376 | $101 | — |
| 2026-10-23 | Will OGC Nice win on 2026-10-23?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 84¢ · -525 | $257 | — |
| 2026-10-23 | Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-10-23?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 86¢ · -610 | $224 | — |
| 2026-10-23 | Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-10-23?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 75¢ · -300 | $170 | — |
| 2026-10-23 | Will VfL Bochum vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 48¢ · +108 | $86 | — |
| 2026-10-23 | Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-10-23?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 61¢ · -156 | $398 | — |
| 2026-10-05 | Lions vs. Panthersfootball · moneyline | Lions | lost | 57¢ · -133 | $46 | −46 |
| 2026-10-05 | Warriors vs. Clippersbasketball · moneyline | Warriors | exited | 70¢ · -237 | $111 | −65 |
| 2026-10-05 | Will Washington Spirit win on 2026-10-04?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 94¢ · -1462 | $105 | — |
| 2026-10-05 | Will Anguilla win on 2026-10-04?moneyline · Non-sports | Yes | lost | 72¢ · -261 | $152 | — |
| 2026-10-05 | Will Costa Rica win on 2026-10-04?moneyline · Non-sports | Yes | won | 66¢ · -194 | $193 | — |
| 2026-10-05 | Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-10-03?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 87¢ · -669 | $169 | — |
| 2026-10-04 | Will Trinidad and Tobago vs. Curaçao end in a draw?moneyline · Non-sports | Yes | won | 54¢ · -117 | $92 | — |
| 2026-10-04 | Broncos vs. 49ersfootball · moneyline | 49ers | won | 55¢ · -122 | $53 | +42 |
| 2026-10-04 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 77¢ · -335 | $40 | — |
| 2026-10-04 | Will Portugal vs. Norway end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 31¢ · +222 | $100 | — |
| 2026-09-22 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-22?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 50¢ · -100 | $14 | — |
| 2026-09-22 | Buenos Aires 2: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hugo Dellientennis · moneyline | Hugo Dellien | won | 82¢ · -456 | $12 | +2 |
| 2026-09-22 | Genoa 2: Stefano Travaglia vs Marvin Moellertennis · moneyline | Marvin Moeller | won | 92¢ · -1150 | $11 | +1 |
| 2026-09-21 | Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-09-21?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 28¢ · +257 | $10 | — |
| 2026-09-21 | Will Manta FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 90¢ · -900 | $10 | — |
| 2026-09-21 | Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-09-21?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 95¢ · -1794 | $18 | — |
| 2026-09-21 | Will CA Aldosivi vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 52¢ · -107 | $121 | — |
| 2026-09-21 | Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-09-21?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 34¢ · +194 | $151 | — |
| 2026-09-21 | Will FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara win on 2026-09-21?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 72¢ · -261 | $646 | — |
| 2026-09-21 | Will ASC Oțelul Galați vs. FC Corvinul 1921 Hunedoara end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 54¢ · -119 | $642 | — |
| 2026-09-21 | Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stageesports · moneyline | Nexus | lost | 69¢ · -219 | $104 | −104 |
| 2026-09-21 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winneresports · child moneyline | Xtreme Gaming | won | 81¢ · -426 | $101 | +15 |
| 2026-09-21 | Singapore Open: Kyoka Okamura vs Leylah Fernandeztennis · moneyline | Kyoka Okamura | lost | 5¢ · +1915 | $10 | −10 |
| 2026-09-21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETNon-sports | Up | won | 79¢ · -384 | $51 | +12 |
| 2026-09-21 | Will Querétaro FC vs. Club León FC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 61¢ · -156 | $204 | — |
| 2026-09-21 | Colts vs. Chiefsfootball · moneyline | Chiefs | won | 75¢ · -305 | $400 | +39 |
| 2026-09-21 | Will CSD Suchitepéquez vs. CSD Xelajú MC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 86¢ · -621 | $211 | — |
| 2026-09-21 | Will AD San Carlos win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 67¢ · -203 | $582 | — |
| 2026-09-21 | Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 79¢ · -378 | $848 | — |
| 2026-09-21 | Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 76¢ · -322 | $304 | — |
| 2026-09-21 | Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 74¢ · -291 | $203 | — |
| 2026-09-21 | Will Inter Miami CF vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 61¢ · -157 | $102 | — |
| 2026-09-21 | Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 79¢ · -366 | $886 | — |
| 2026-09-21 | Will CA Belgrano vs. AA Estudiantes end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 87¢ · -684 | $403 | — |
| 2026-09-21 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 69¢ · -219 | $305 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will San Diego FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 30¢ · +233 | $52 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 95¢ · -1841 | $206 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Londrina EC vs. Fortaleza EC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 65¢ · -186 | $102 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 87¢ · -669 | $302 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Jaguars vs. Broncosfootball · moneyline | Broncos | won | 83¢ · -488 | $600 | +122 |
| 2026-09-20 | Jaguars vs. Broncosfootball · moneyline | Jaguars | lost | 71¢ · -245 | $200 | −96 |
| 2026-09-20 | Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 69¢ · -223 | $203 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 66¢ · -194 | $102 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 97¢ · -3233 | $700 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 97¢ · -3039 | $701 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 88¢ · -725 | $1,171 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Valencia CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 73¢ · -270 | $304 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 96¢ · -2400 | $1,303 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 80¢ · -400 | $1,109 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 83¢ · -488 | $605 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 77¢ · -329 | $303 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 74¢ · -285 | $203 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 67¢ · -204 | $203 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will FC Schalke 04 vs. SV 07 Elversberg end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 38¢ · +163 | $52 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 37¢ · +170 | $41 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will NEC vs. Go Ahead Eagles end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 84¢ · -525 | $302 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 94¢ · -1567 | $1,103 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Grêmio FBPA vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 87¢ · -670 | $188 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-09-20?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 87¢ · -669 | $302 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 64¢ · -178 | $102 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Deportivo Saprissa win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 85¢ · -566 | $554 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Exact Score: Real Salt Lake 0 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | won | 81¢ · -431 | $91 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Exact Score: Nashville SC 2 - 0 Chicago Fire FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 74¢ · -292 | $203 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Nashville SC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 77¢ · -335 | $202 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 77¢ · -335 | $202 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 92¢ · -1147 | $502 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Houston Dynamo vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 95¢ · -1767 | $301 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will FC Dallas vs. Austin FC end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 91¢ · -1037 | $201 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | exited | 90¢ · -895 | $176 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 87¢ · -671 | $604 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will New England Revolution win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 75¢ · -304 | $101 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Atlas FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 65¢ · -186 | $102 | — |
| 2026-09-20 | Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 66¢ · -193 | $102 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Santos FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 84¢ · -537 | $302 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will CA Mineiro vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol end in a draw?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 61¢ · -158 | $204 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | lost | 83¢ · -488 | $233 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Exact Score: Paris FC 2 - 0 RC Strasbourg Alsace?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | lost | 38¢ · +163 | $52 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Will Paris FC win on 2026-09-19?soccer · moneyline | Yes | won | 92¢ · -1215 | $1,144 | — |
| 2026-09-19 | Exact Score: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3 - 0 Arsenal FC?soccer · soccer exact score | Yes | won | 42¢ · +135 | $103 | — |